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Predicted vs actual

Every game the model has called and that has since been played, newest first. Projections count only if they were stored before puck drop.

Pick a team

All teams: 54 of 92 called right (59%)

Predicted versus actual results
DateGameModel pickProjectedFinalCall
Nov 2VGK @ BOSBOS 55%2.9–3.22–3Right
Nov 2DET @ FLAFLA 59%2.6–3.15–3Wrong
Nov 1UTA @ PHIUTA 53%3.0–2.83–6Wrong
Nov 1MIN @ WSHMIN 51%2.9–2.85–1Right
Nov 1WPG @ CARCAR 69%2.3–3.40–7Right
Oct 31CGY @ COLCOL 73%2.5–4.12–5Right
Oct 31CBJ @ DALDAL 61%2.4–3.01–3Right
Oct 31TBL @ NSHTBL 53%3.3–3.14–5Wrong
Oct 31EDM @ NYIEDM 51%3.0–3.04–0Right
Oct 31STL @ DETSTL 54%2.9–2.75–4Right
Oct 31CHI @ BOSBOS 71%2.3–3.64–5Right
Oct 30SEA @ CGYSEA 53%3.2–3.02–6Wrong
Oct 30NJD @ VGKVGK 55%3.0–3.25–2Wrong
Oct 29VAN @ SJSSJS 59%3.1–3.62–3Right
Oct 29BUF @ ANABUF 53%3.3–3.17–6Right
Oct 29OTT @ LAKOTT 54%2.9–2.65–6Wrong
Oct 29MTL @ DALDAL 56%2.4–2.75–2Wrong
Oct 29NYI @ MINMIN 60%2.3–2.94–3Wrong
Oct 29WSH @ NSHNSH 53%3.0–3.24–3Wrong
Oct 29BOS @ STLBOS 59%3.2–2.71–4Wrong
Oct 29CHI @ DETDET 58%2.6–3.11–4Right
Oct 28TOR @ SEASEA 52%3.2–3.34–5Right
Oct 28CGY @ EDMEDM 62%2.9–3.60–4Right
Oct 28PHI @ WSHWSH 64%2.4–3.22–5Right
Oct 27BUF @ SJSBUF 52%3.3–3.12–0Right

Model pick: the team the model gave the better chance to win; an exact 50% goes to the home team. Projected and final scores read away–home.

For educational/analytics purposes only — not gambling advice. Model version poisson-dc-v1.