Oilers vs Islanders Score & Box Score — Sat, Oct 31, 2026

FINALUBS Arena · Oct 31

4@0

EDM rest: 1dNYI rest: 0d

Edmonton Oilers at New York Islanders: score, goals, shots, period-by-period stats and the HabsMetrics prediction made before puck drop, from the NHL’s official data. Analytics for educational purposes only — not gambling advice.

Game analysis

Oilers beat Islanders 4–0

R. Nugent-Hopkins scored the game-winner at 8:42 of the second.
The Oilers scored first and led the rest of the way.
An empty-net goal sealed it late.
T. Jarry posted a 18-save shutout.
Power play: EDM 1/6, NYI 0/4.
HabsMetrics model had the Oilers as 51% favourites — it called this one.

HabsMetrics Analytics — for educational/analytics purposes only — not gambling advice.

Three stars

1st star
R. Nugent-Hopkins
EDM · 2G 0A
2nd star
V. Podkolzin
EDM · 1G 0A
3rd star
T. Jarry
EDM · 1.000 SV%

Scoring summary

1st

No scoring

2nd

8:42EDMR. Nugent-Hopkins VideoAssists: K. Kapanen1–0
9:50EDMV. Podkolzin VideoAssists: L. Draisaitl, E. Bouchard2–0
18:26EDMR. Nugent-HopkinsPPVideoAssists: C. McDavid, L. Draisaitl3–0

3rd

17:23EDMJ. DickinsonENVideoAssists: M. Joseph, M. Ekholm4–0

Period by Period

Stats not yet available

Team Stats

EDMNYI

Team statistics comparison
Shots	--	--
Hits	17	24
Blocked	8	11
Power Play	1/6	0/4
Faceoff %	53.2	46.8
Corsi %	55.1	44.9
xG	2.64	1.95
Giveaways	14	15
Takeaways	5	3

New York Islanders

Player statistics for New York Islanders
Player	G	A	P	+/-	SOG	TOI
Brayden SchennC	0	0	0	-1	0	17:48
Anthony DuclairLW	0	0	0	0	0	15:16
Bo HorvatC	0	0	0	-3	3	20:29
Kyle PalmieriC	0	0	0	-2	4	17:24
Mitchell ChaffeeRW	0	0	0	-1	1	09:52
Kyle MacLeanC	0	0	0	-1	0	11:35
Victor EklundRW	0	0	0	0	1	15:32
Emil HeinemanLW	0	0	0	0	0	00:56
Casey CizikasC	0	0	0	0	0	13:25
Ondrej PalatLW	0	0	0	0	0	15:11
Ilya SorokinG	--	--	31/35	--	.886	59:26
Semyon VarlamovG	--	--	20/24	--	.833	00:00

Edmonton Oilers

Player statistics for Edmonton Oilers
Player	G	A	P	+/-	SOG	TOI
Ryan Nugent-HopkinsC	2	0	2	+1	2	18:49
Leon DraisaitlC	0	2	2	+1	2	19:41
Jason DickinsonC	1	0	1	+1	1	12:46
Mathieu JosephRW	0	1	1	+1	1	15:03
Kasperi KapanenRW	0	1	1	+1	2	19:27
Connor McDavidC	0	1	1	+1	3	23:20
Evan BouchardD	0	1	1	+1	3	21:58
Mattias EkholmD	0	1	1	+2	0	20:41
Vasily PodkolzinRW	1	0	1	+1	2	14:56
Owen MichaelsRW	0	0	0	0	1	13:41
Tristan JarryG	--	--	30/30	--	1.000	60:00
Matt TomkinsG	--	--	18/18	--	1.000	00:00

EDMaway

51%

NYIhome

49%

Win probability2-pt gap

Model pick

EDM · 51% to win

Key signals

Team Offense (Goal Model)Team Defense (Goal Model)Home IceInjuriesProjected Goaltending

For educational/analytics purposes only — not gambling advice

Game Analysis

Projected score

EDM

3.0

–

NYI

3.0

Most likely final: NYI 2–3 EDM · Actual: 0–4

NYI win: 49%
EDM win: 51%
Goes to OT/SO: 24%

Likeliest scorelines

NYI 2 – 3 EDM8%
NYI 3 – 2 EDM8%
NYI 3 – 4 EDM7%
NYI 4 – 3 EDM7%
NYI 1 – 2 EDM5%

Goal totals & margins

6+ total goals: 52%
7+ total goals: 42%
NYI by 2+: 23%
EDM by 2+: 25%

Key factors (goal margin, + favors home)

Team OffenseNYI scoring -4% vs league average, EDM +13% (time-weighted goal model).-0.49
Team DefenseNYI allowing -6% vs league average, EDM +3%.+0.27
Home IceLeague-wide home scoring edge of +6% applied to NYI.+0.17
InjuriesNYI without Ryan Pulock, Mathew Barzal, Matias Maccelli; EDM without Zach Hyman, Matt Savoie, Mattias Janmark.-0.14
Projected GoaltendingProjected starters vs an average goalie, shrunk by shots faced: Ilya Sorokin (NYI) +0.04 g/gm; Devon Levi (EDM) -0.03 g/gm.+0.07
Market ConsensusBlended 35% toward the consensus market.+0.02