Playoff odds
NHL Playoff Odds
NHL playoff odds for all 32 teams, including the Montreal Canadiens: each club’s chance of making the playoffs, winning its division or taking a wild card, from 10,000 simulations of the rest of the regular season with the HabsMetrics game model. The top 3 in each division plus 2 wild cards per conference qualify. Odds refresh every morning from the NHL’s official results. Analytics for educational purposes only — not gambling advice.
Updated Nov 7, 2026 · 10,000 simulated seasons
Eastern Conference
| Team | Pts | Proj. pts80% range | Playoffs | Win division | Wild card |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 CARCarolina Hurricanes | 30 | 119(106–131) | 99% | 82% | 1% |
 BOSBoston Bruins | 25 | 111(98–123) | 92% | 41% | 12% |
 TBLTampa Bay Lightning | 24 | 106(93–120) | 84% | 25% | 17% |
 MTLMontréal Canadiens | 25 | 103(90–117) | 76% | 16% | 22% |
 NJDNew Jersey Devils | 24 | 101(87–114) | 72% | 9% | 9% |
 OTTOttawa Senators | 23 | 99(85–112) | 61% | 7% | 25% |
 WSHWashington Capitals | 18 | 96(82–110) | 57% | 4% | 10% |
 NYRNew York Rangers | 21 | 95(82–108) | 53% | 3% | 11% |
Playoff line | |||||
 BUFBuffalo Sabres | 19 | 95(82–109) | 47% | 5% | 22% |
 FLAFlorida Panthers | 20 | 93(79–107) | 39% | 3% | 20% |
 NYINew York Islanders | 17 | 91(77–104) | 34% | 1% | 10% |
 TORToronto Maple Leafs | 18 | 90(77–103) | 29% | 2% | 17% |
 DETDetroit Red Wings | 17 | 87(74–100) | 19% | 1% | 12% |
 CBJColumbus Blue Jackets | 14 | 85(71–99) | 18% | <1% | 6% |
 PITPittsburgh Penguins | 12 | 83(69–97) | 14% | <1% | 5% |
 PHIPhiladelphia Flyers | 12 | 80(67–93) | 7% | <1% | 3% |
Western Conference
| Team | Pts | Proj. pts80% range | Playoffs | Win division | Wild card |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 MINMinnesota Wild | 28 | 114(102–126) | 98% | 60% | 7% |
 EDMEdmonton Oilers | 25 | 109(95–122) | 94% | 54% | 3% |
 VGKVegas Golden Knights | 24 | 104(91–117) | 89% | 31% | 5% |
 COLColorado Avalanche | 20 | 103(90–116) | 83% | 14% | 24% |
 DALDallas Stars | 22 | 101(88–114) | 77% | 10% | 28% |
 NSHNashville Predators | 21 | 100(87–113) | 75% | 8% | 29% |
 UTAUtah Mammoth | 21 | 96(82–109) | 61% | 5% | 30% |
 ANAAnaheim Ducks | 19 | 92(78–106) | 53% | 6% | 9% |
Playoff line | |||||
 SEASeattle Kraken | 19 | 91(78–105) | 49% | 5% | 10% |
 STLSt. Louis Blues | 16 | 92(79–106) | 47% | 2% | 28% |
 LAKLos Angeles Kings | 12 | 88(75–102) | 37% | 3% | 9% |
 WPGWinnipeg Jets | 15 | 83(70–96) | 16% | <1% | 11% |
 CGYCalgary Flames | 15 | 81(68–95) | 15% | 1% | 5% |
 SJSSan Jose Sharks | 15 | 75(62–89) | 5% | <1% | 2% |
 VANVancouver Canucks | 7 | 63(49–77) | <1% | 0% | <1% |
 CHIChicago Blackhawks | 9 | 63(50–76) | <1% | 0% | <1% |
How these odds work
Every remaining game is priced by the same score model behind our projected scores. Each simulated season also shifts every team’s strength a little, because a team’s true level is never known exactly. Ties are broken with the NHL’s rules: points, regulation wins, regulation + overtime wins, wins, then goal differential. Backtested on the 2024-25 and 2025-26 seasons, the model beat a points-pace projection at every checkpoint.
HabsMetrics Analytics — for educational purposes. Not gambling advice.