PuckMetrics model

NHL Predictions Today

November 7, 2026 · Transparent win probabilities with the factors behind every call.

Educational · not gambling advice

Games

12

Avg favorite win %

59%

Favorites ≥ 60%

4

Season accuracy

60.3%

Winner picked right · 58 games graded

Showing 12 of 47 predictions

Sat, Nov 7 · 12:30 PM EST
FLAaway
46%
at
WSHhome
54%
Win probability8-pt gap
Model pick
WSH · 54% to win
Projected FLA 3.1 – 3.3 WSH · most likely WSH 3–2
Key signals
Team Offense (Goal Model)Home IceTeam Defense (Goal Model)InjuriesMarket Consensus Blend
Who's out
FLA
Long-Term IRAleksander Barkov
Long-Term IRJonah Gadjovich
Injured ReserveBrad Marchand
OutAnton Lundell
+1 more
WSH
Long-Term IRRasmus Sandin
Injured ReservePatrick Thomas
Injured ReserveVincent Desharnais
Injuries tilt the model toward WSH by 0.11 goals.
For educational/analytics purposes only — not gambling advice
Game Analysis
Sat, Nov 7 · 1:00 PM EST
STLaway
47%
at
NSHhome
53%
Win probability6-pt gap
Model pick
NSH · 53% to win
Projected STL 2.9 – 3.0 NSH · most likely NSH 3–2
Key signals
Home IceTeam Defense (Goal Model)Team Offense (Goal Model)Projected GoaltendingInjuries
Who's out
STL
Long-Term IRTorey Krug
Injured ReserveDillon Dube
Injured ReserveLogan Mailloux
Injured ReserveTyler Tucker
NSH
No reported injuries
Injuries tilt the model toward NSH by 0.03 goals.
For educational/analytics purposes only — not gambling advice
Game Analysis
Sat, Nov 7 · 5:00 PM EST
NYRaway
53%
at
SEAhome
47%
Win probability6-pt gap
Model pick
NYR · 53% to win
Projected NYR 3.2 – 3.0 SEA · most likely NYR 3–2
Key signals
Team Defense (Goal Model)Home IceTeam Offense (Goal Model)Market Consensus BlendProjected Goaltending
Who's out
NYR
Long-Term IRIgor Shesterkin
Long-Term IRJoe Veleno
Injured ReserveAdam Sykora
Injured ReserveAidan Thompson
+2 more
SEA
Injured ReserveCurtis Douglas
Injured ReserveJacob Melanson
Injured ReserveJake O'Brien
Injured ReserveJared McCann
+2 more
Injuries tilt the model toward NYR by 0.02 goals.
Roster news
NYRWaived: James ReimerNov 5
For educational/analytics purposes only — not gambling advice
Game Analysis
Sat, Nov 7 · 7:00 PM EST
MTLaway
50%
at
TORhome
50%
Win probabilityToss-up
Model pick
Toss-up · No clear favourite · MTL 50% · TOR 50%
Projected MTL 3.1 – 3.1 TOR · most likely TOR 3–2
Key signals
Team Defense (Goal Model)Home IceProjected GoaltendingTeam Offense (Goal Model)Injuries
Who's out
MTL
Injured ReserveBryce Pickford
Injured ReserveIvan Demidov
Injured ReserveLucas Condotta
Injured ReserveSam Montembeault
+2 more
TOR
Long-Term IRElvis Merzlikins
Long-Term IRMax Domi
Long-Term IRMiles Wood
Injured ReserveCade Webber
+4 more
For educational/analytics purposes only — not gambling advice
Game Analysis
Sat, Nov 7 · 7:00 PM EST
NJDaway
54%
at
NYIhome
46%
Win probability8-pt gap
Model pick
NJD · 54% to win
Projected NJD 3.0 – 2.7 NYI · most likely NJD 3–2
Key signals
Team Offense (Goal Model)InjuriesHome IceMarket Consensus BlendProjected Goaltending
Who's out
NJD
Injured ReserveSeamus Casey
NYI
Injured ReserveAlexander Romanov
Injured ReserveCalum Ritchie
Injured ReserveMathew Barzal
Injured ReserveMatias Maccelli
+1 more
Injuries tilt the model toward NJD by 0.23 goals.
For educational/analytics purposes only — not gambling advice
Game Analysis
Sat, Nov 7 · 7:00 PM EST
UTAaway
45%
at
OTThome
55%
Win probability10-pt gap
Model pick
OTT · 55% to win
Projected UTA 3.0 – 3.3 OTT · most likely OTT 3–2
Key signals
Home IceTeam Defense (Goal Model)Team Offense (Goal Model)Projected GoaltendingInjuries
Who's out
UTA
Injured ReserveJohn Marino
Injured ReserveKailer Yamamoto
Injured ReserveMaveric Lamoureux
OutNate Schmidt
OTT
Injured ReserveAndre Burakovsky
Injured ReserveLinus Ullmark
Injured ReserveWarren Foegele
Injured ReserveWilliam Eklund
+1 more
Injuries tilt the model toward OTT by 0.03 goals.
For educational/analytics purposes only — not gambling advice
Game Analysis
Sat, Nov 7 · 8:00 PM EST
SJSaway
31%
at
DALhome
69%
Win probability38-pt gap
Model pick
DAL · 69% to win
Projected SJS 2.2 – 3.3 DAL · most likely DAL 3–2
Key signals
Team Defense (Goal Model)Team Offense (Goal Model)Home IceRest / Back-to-BackInjuries
Who's out
SJS
Injured ReserveAlexander Wennberg
Injured ReserveIgor Chernyshov
Injured ReserveKyle Keyser
Injured ReserveQuentin Musty
DAL
Long-Term IRMatt Duchene
Long-Term IROskar Back
Injured ReserveKyle Capobianco
Injured ReserveLuke Krys
+1 more
Injuries tilt the model toward SJS by 0.15 goals.
For educational/analytics purposes only — not gambling advice
Game Analysis
Sat, Nov 7 · 8:00 PM EST
CHIaway
21%
at
CARhome
79%
Win probability58-pt gap
Model pick
CAR · 79% to win
Projected CHI 2.1 – 4.0 CAR · most likely CAR 3–2
Key signals
Team Offense (Goal Model)Team Defense (Goal Model)Home IceProjected GoaltendingInjuries
Who's out
CHI
Injured ReserveBowen Byram
OutPatrick Kane
CAR
Injured ReserveJordan Staal
Injuries tilt the model toward CAR by 0.06 goals.
For educational/analytics purposes only — not gambling advice
Game Analysis
Sat, Nov 7 · 8:00 PM EST
TBLaway
48%
at
MINhome
52%
Win probability4-pt gap
Model pick
MIN · 52% to win
Projected TBL 2.9 – 3.0 MIN · most likely MIN 3–2
Key signals
Team Defense (Goal Model)Market Consensus BlendHome IceRest / Back-to-BackInjuries
Who's out
TBL
Injured ReserveYanni Gourde
MIN
Long-Term IRFilip Gustavsson
Injured ReserveBrock Faber
Injured ReserveJared Spurgeon
OutMichael McCarron
Injuries tilt the model toward TBL by 0.14 goals.
For educational/analytics purposes only — not gambling advice
Game Analysis
Sat, Nov 7 · 9:00 PM EST
PITaway
46%
at
LAKhome
54%
Win probability8-pt gap
Model pick
LAK · 54% to win
Projected PIT 3.0 – 3.3 LAK · most likely LAK 3–2
Key signals
Team Defense (Goal Model)Home IceTeam Offense (Goal Model)Market Consensus BlendProjected Goaltending
Who's out
PIT
Injured ReserveBryan Rust
Injured ReserveElmer Soderblom
Injured ReserveRyan Graves
Injured ReserveTrevor van Riemsdyk
LAK
Injured ReserveJakub Dvorak
Injured ReserveJan Jenik
Injured ReserveKevin Fiala
Injured ReserveMats Zuccarello
For educational/analytics purposes only — not gambling advice
Game Analysis
Sat, Nov 7 · 9:00 PM EST
DETaway
34%
at
COLhome
66%
Win probability32-pt gap
Model pick
COL · 66% to win
Projected DET 2.7 – 3.7 COL · most likely COL 3–2
Key signals
Team Offense (Goal Model)Home IceInjuriesProjected GoaltendingTeam Defense (Goal Model)
Who's out
DET
Injured ReserveAlbert Johansson
Injured ReserveDylan Larkin
Injured ReserveMarco Kasper
Injured ReserveMason Appleton
+2 more
COL
Long-Term IRZachary L'Heureux
OutJosh Manson
Injuries tilt the model toward COL by 0.12 goals.
For educational/analytics purposes only — not gambling advice
Game Analysis
Sat, Nov 7 · 10:00 PM EST
VANaway
26%
at
EDMhome
74%
Win probability48-pt gap
Model pick
EDM · 74% to win
Projected VAN 2.8 – 4.4 EDM · most likely EDM 4–3
Key signals
Team Defense (Goal Model)Team Offense (Goal Model)Home IceInjuriesMarket Consensus Blend
Who's out
VAN
Injured ReserveAkil Thomas
Injured ReserveFilip Chytil
Injured ReserveMackenzie MacEachern
Injured ReserveThatcher Demko
+1 more
EDM
Long-Term IRAlec Regula
Long-Term IRMatt Savoie
Injured ReserveFrederik Andersen
Injured ReserveIsaac Howard
+1 more
Injuries tilt the model toward VAN by 0.11 goals.
For educational/analytics purposes only — not gambling advice
Game Analysis

PuckMetrics Analytics — for educational/analytics purposes only — not gambling advice