UTAaway
45%at
OTThome
55%Win probability10-pt gap
Model pick
OTT · 55% to win
Key signals
Home IceTeam Defense (Goal Model)Team Offense (Goal Model)Projected GoaltendingInjuries
For educational/analytics purposes only — not gambling advice
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LIVECanadian Tire Centre · Nov 8
UTA rest: 1dOTT rest: 2d
Period by Period
Stats not yet available
Projected score
UTA
3.0
–
OTT
3.3
Most likely final: OTT 3–2 UTA
- OTT win
- 55%
- UTA win
- 45%
- Goes to OT/SO
- 23%
Likeliest scorelines
- OTT 3 – 2 UTA8%
- OTT 4 – 3 UTA7%
- OTT 2 – 3 UTA7%
- OTT 3 – 4 UTA7%
- OTT 2 – 1 UTA5%
Goal totals & margins
- 6+ total goals
- 59%
- 7+ total goals
- 48%
- OTT by 2+
- 29%
- UTA by 2+
- 21%
Key factors (goal margin, + favors home)
- Home IceLeague-wide home scoring edge of +6% applied to OTT.+0.18
- Team DefenseOTT allowing -2% vs league average, UTA +5%.+0.18
- Team OffenseOTT scoring +2% vs league average, UTA +7% (time-weighted goal model).-0.15
- Projected GoaltendingProjected starters vs an average goalie, shrunk by shots faced: Samuel Ersson (OTT) -0.04 g/gm; Karel Vejmelka (UTA) -0.10 g/gm.+0.06
- InjuriesOTT without Ridly Greig, Warren Foegele, William Eklund; UTA without Kailer Yamamoto, Nate Schmidt, John Marino.+0.03
PuckMetrics Analytics — for educational/analytics purposes only — not gambling advice
Lineups
UTA
Actual (from shift data)Injured / Scratched
- Kailer Yamamotoinjured-reserve · Upper Body
- Nate Schmidtother · Upper Body
- Maveric Lamoureuxinjured-reserve · Shoulder
- John Marinoinjured-reserve · Upper Body
OTT
Actual (from shift data)L2
3:52
Injured / Scratched
- Ridly Greigother · Lower Body
- Warren Foegeleinjured-reserve · Right Knee
- Andre Burakovskyinjured-reserve · Lower Body
- Linus Ullmarkinjured-reserve · Lower Body (Strain)
- William Eklundinjured-reserve · Ankle
PuckMetrics Analytics — for educational purposes. Lines are inferred from shared five-skater ice time in NHL shift data; projections are estimates.
For educational/analytics purposes only — not gambling advice