← Back to DashboardFINALBridgestone Arena · Oct 30
WSH rest: 1dNSH rest: 1d
Game analysis
Capitals beat Predators 4–3
- 🚨A. Tuch scored the game-winner at 10:09 of the third.
- 🧤C. Lindgren stopped 25 of 28 shots (.893) for the win.
- ⚡Power play: WSH 0/2, NSH 1/3.
- ⚪The Predators dominated the dot, winning 61% of faceoffs.
- ⭐R. Josi led all scorers with 0 goals and 3 assists.
- 📊Model miss: the Capitals won with only a 47% pre-game win probability.
HabsMetrics Analytics — for educational/analytics purposes only — not gambling advice.
Three stars
- ★1st star
- ★2nd star
- ★3rd star
Period by Period
Stats not yet available
Team statistics comparison| Shots | -- | -- |
| Hits | 23 | 17 |
| Blocked | 10 | 9 |
| Power Play | 0/2 | 1/3 |
| Faceoff % | 39.3 | 60.7 |
| Corsi % | -- | -- |
| xG | 2.65 | 2.74 |
| Giveaways | 17 | 17 |
| Takeaways | 3 | 3 |
Nashville Predators
Player statistics for Nashville Predators| Player | G | A | P | +/- | SOG | TOI |
|---|
| 0 | 3 | 3 | +1 | 6 | 22:56 |
| 2 | 0 | 2 | +1 | 3 | 21:39 |
| 0 | 1 | 1 | -1 | 0 | 21:42 |
| 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 17:15 |
| 1 | 0 | 1 | -1 | 3 | 15:04 |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | -2 | 0 | 12:29 |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 18:15 |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 10:00 |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 12:29 |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | -1 | 5 | 17:10 |
| -- | -- | 43/47 | -- | .915 | 57:57 |
| -- | -- | 25/29 | -- | .862 | 00:00 |
Washington Capitals
Player statistics for Washington Capitals| Player | G | A | P | +/- | SOG | TOI |
|---|
| 0 | 2 | 2 | +1 | 0 | 15:12 |
| 2 | 0 | 2 | +2 | 2 | 18:26 |
| 0 | 2 | 2 | +2 | 0 | 19:33 |
| 0 | 1 | 1 | -1 | 5 | 22:30 |
| 0 | 1 | 1 | +1 | 1 | 19:49 |
| 1 | 0 | 1 | +1 | 1 | 16:09 |
| 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 17:18 |
| 0 | 1 | 1 | +2 | 2 | 17:07 |
| 0 | 1 | 1 | +1 | 4 | 14:31 |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | -1 | 3 | 10:56 |
| -- | -- | 40/43 | -- | .930 | 60:00 |
| -- | -- | 24/27 | -- | .889 | 00:00 |
Most likely final: NSH 3–2 WSH · Actual: 3–4
- NSH win
- 53%
- WSH win
- 47%
- Goes to OT/SO
- 24%
Likeliest scorelines
- NSH 3 – 2 WSH8%
- NSH 2 – 3 WSH8%
- NSH 4 – 3 WSH7%
- NSH 3 – 4 WSH7%
- NSH 2 – 1 WSH5%
Goal totals & margins
- 6+ total goals
- 55%
- 7+ total goals
- 45%
- NSH by 2+
- 27%
- WSH by 2+
- 22%
Key factors (goal margin, + favors home)
- Team OffenseNSH scoring -1% vs league average, WSH +7% (time-weighted goal model).-0.23
- RestWSH on the second night of a back-to-back.+0.18
- Home IceLeague-wide home scoring edge of +5% applied to NSH.+0.15
- Market ConsensusBlended 35% toward the consensus market.-0.11
- Team DefenseNSH allowing -2% vs league average, WSH +1%.+0.09
- InjuriesWSH without Vincent Desharnais, Rasmus Sandin.+0.09
- Projected GoaltendingProjected starters vs an average goalie, shrunk by shots faced: Juuse Saros (NSH) +0.02 g/gm; Logan Thompson (WSH) +0.01 g/gm.+0.01
HabsMetrics Analytics — for educational/analytics purposes only — not gambling advice
Lineups
WSH
Actual (from shift data)Injured / Scratched
- Patrick Thomasinjured-reserve · Upper Body
- Vincent Desharnaisinjured-reserve · Abdomen (Surgery)
- Rasmus Sandinlong-term-injured-reserve · Right Knee (Surgery)
NSH
Actual (from shift data)Injured / Scratched
None reported
HabsMetrics Analytics — for educational purposes. Lines are inferred from shared five-skater ice time in NHL shift data; projections are estimates.
For educational/analytics purposes only — not gambling advice
