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Predicted vs actual

Every game the model has called and that has since been played, newest first. Projections count only if they were stored before puck drop.

Pick a team

PHI: 4 of 7 called right (57%)

Predicted versus actual results
DateGameModel pickProjectedFinalCall
Nov 9PHI @ VANPHI 54%3.2–2.93–1Right
Nov 8PHI @ CGYPHI 52%3.0–2.93–4Wrong
Nov 5PHI @ NYRNYR 58%2.6–3.02–3Right
Nov 3MIN @ PHIMIN 61%2.9–2.34–2Right
Nov 1UTA @ PHIUTA 53%3.0–2.83–6Wrong
Oct 28PHI @ WSHWSH 64%2.4–3.22–5Right
Oct 27CBJ @ PHIPHI 51%2.6–2.64–3Wrong

Model pick: the team the model gave the better chance to win; an exact 50% goes to the home team. Projected and final scores read away–home.

For educational/analytics purposes only — not gambling advice. Model version poisson-dc-v1.