Flyers vs Capitals Score & Box Score — Wed, Oct 28, 2026

FINALCapital One Arena · Oct 28

2@5

PHI rest: 0dWSH rest: 3d

Philadelphia Flyers at Washington Capitals: score, goals, shots, period-by-period stats and the HabsMetrics prediction made before puck drop, from the NHL’s official data. Analytics for educational purposes only — not gambling advice.

Period by Period

Stats not yet available

Team Stats

PHIWSH

Team statistics comparison
Shots	--	--
Hits	23	32
Blocked	14	25
Power Play	1/4	1/3
Faceoff %	57.7	42.3
Corsi %	49.6	50.4
xG	2.19	4.01
Giveaways	19	11
Takeaways	2	2

Washington Capitals

Player statistics for Washington Capitals
Player	G	A	P	+/-	SOG	TOI
Dylan StromeC	0	3	3	+1	2	15:48
Pierre-Luc DuboisC	0	2	2	+2	1	13:00
Alex TuchRW	2	0	2	+3	5	18:41
Jack St. IvanyD	0	2	2	+2	1	14:44
Jordan KyrouRW	2	0	2	+1	3	15:34
Aliaksei ProtasLW	1	0	1	+2	3	16:54
Matt RoyD	0	1	1	+1	1	20:37
Jakob ChychrunD	0	1	1	+2	1	22:08
Ryan LeonardRW	0	0	0	-1	4	14:16
Boone JennerC	0	0	0	0	0	17:01
Logan ThompsonG	--	--	32/34	--	.941	60:00
Charlie LindgrenG	--	--	23/25	--	.920	00:00

Philadelphia Flyers

Player statistics for Philadelphia Flyers
Player	G	A	P	+/-	SOG	TOI
Sean CouturierC	1	0	1	+1	3	18:17
Matvei MichkovRW	1	0	1	-2	1	17:06
Trevor ZegrasC	0	1	1	-1	4	19:09
Denver BarkeyC	0	1	1	-2	1	14:42
Nick SeelerD	0	1	1	-1	2	17:19
Christian DvorakC	0	0	0	-1	1	17:20
Noel AcciariC	0	0	0	0	0	10:25
Cole KnubleRW	0	0	0	-2	2	15:27
Jacob GaucherC	0	0	0	0	0	08:55
Porter MartoneRW	0	0	0	-2	2	14:32
Joseph WollG	--	--	37/42	--	.881	58:09
Dan VladarG	--	--	25/30	--	.833	00:00

PHIaway

36%

WSHhome

64%

Win probability28-pt gap

Model pick

WSH · 64% to win

Key signals

Team Offense (Goal Model)Rest / Back-to-BackTeam Defense (Goal Model)Home IceMarket Consensus Blend

For educational/analytics purposes only — not gambling advice

Game Analysis

Projected score

PHI

2.4

–

WSH

3.2

Most likely final: WSH 3–2 PHI · Actual: 5–2

WSH win: 64%
PHI win: 36%
Goes to OT/SO: 24%

Likeliest scorelines

WSH 3 – 2 PHI10%
WSH 2 – 3 PHI7%
WSH 2 – 1 PHI7%
WSH 4 – 3 PHI7%
WSH 1 – 2 PHI6%

Goal totals & margins

6+ total goals: 46%
7+ total goals: 36%
WSH by 2+: 35%
PHI by 2+: 14%

Key factors (goal margin, + favors home)

Team OffenseWSH scoring +5% vs league average, PHI -14% (time-weighted goal model).+0.58
RestPHI on the second night of a back-to-back.+0.16
Team DefenseWSH allowing +1% vs league average, PHI -4%.-0.15
Home IceLeague-wide home scoring edge of +4% applied to WSH.+0.12
Market ConsensusBlended 35% toward the consensus market.+0.10
InjuriesWSH without Vincent Desharnais, Rasmus Sandin; PHI without Owen Tippett, Travis Konecny, Nikita Grebenkin.+0.05
Projected GoaltendingProjected starters vs an average goalie, shrunk by shots faced: Logan Thompson (WSH) +0.00 g/gm; Dan Vladar (PHI) -0.03 g/gm.+0.03