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Predicted vs actual

Every game the model has called and that has since been played, newest first. Projections count only if they were stored before puck drop.

Pick a team

CGY: 2 of 6 called right (33%)

Predicted versus actual results
DateGameModel pickProjectedFinalCall
Nov 8PHI @ CGYPHI 52%3.0–2.93–4Wrong
Nov 2CGY @ SJSSJS 52%2.8–3.02–1Wrong
Oct 31CGY @ COLCOL 73%2.5–4.12–5Right
Oct 30SEA @ CGYSEA 53%3.2–3.02–6Wrong
Oct 28CGY @ EDMEDM 62%2.9–3.60–4Right
Oct 26TOR @ CGYTOR 60%3.5–2.92–5Wrong

Model pick: the team the model gave the better chance to win; an exact 50% goes to the home team. Projected and final scores read away–home.

For educational/analytics purposes only — not gambling advice. Model version poisson-dc-v1.