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Predicted vs actual

Every game the model has called and that has since been played, newest first. Projections count only if they were stored before puck drop.

TeamAll teamsMTL
Pick a team
MTLANABOSBUFCARCBJCGYCHICOLDALDETEDMFLALAKMINNJDNSHNYINYROTTPHIPITSEASJSSTLTBLTORUTAVANVGKWPGWSH
ResultAllRightWrong

OTT: 2 of 5 called right (40%)

Predicted versus actual results
DateGameModel pickProjectedFinalCall
Nov 10WSH @ OTTOTT 50%3.1–3.13–2Wrong
Nov 7UTA @ OTTOTT 55%3.0–3.32–4Right
Nov 4OTT @ BUFBUF 52%3.1–3.22–1Wrong
Oct 29OTT @ LAKOTT 54%2.9–2.65–6Wrong
Oct 27OTT @ VGKVGK 56%2.8–3.21–4Right

Model pick: the team the model gave the better chance to win; an exact 50% goes to the home team. Projected and final scores read away–home.

For educational/analytics purposes only — not gambling advice. Model version poisson-dc-v1.