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Predicted vs actual

Every game the model has called and that has since been played, newest first. Projections count only if they were stored before puck drop.

TeamAll teamsMTL
Pick a team
MTLANABOSBUFCARCBJCGYCHICOLDALDETEDMFLALAKMINNJDNSHNYINYROTTPHIPITSEASJSSTLTBLTORUTAVANVGKWPGWSH
ResultAllRightWrong

EDM: 5 of 6 called right (83%)

Predicted versus actual results
DateGameModel pickProjectedFinalCall
Nov 9NYR @ EDMEDM 54%2.8–3.11–3Right
Nov 7VAN @ EDMEDM 73%2.4–3.92–4Right
Nov 3EDM @ NJDNJD 53%3.2–3.33–4Right
Oct 31EDM @ NYIEDM 51%3.0–3.04–0Right
Oct 28CGY @ EDMEDM 62%2.9–3.60–4Right
Oct 26DET @ EDMEDM 59%2.9–3.54–3Wrong

Model pick: the team the model gave the better chance to win; an exact 50% goes to the home team. Projected and final scores read away–home.

For educational/analytics purposes only — not gambling advice. Model version poisson-dc-v1.