EDMaway
47%at
NJDhome
53%Win probability6-pt gap
Model pick
NJD · 53% to win
Key signals
Team Offense (Goal Model)Market Consensus BlendHome IceInjuriesProjected Goaltending
For educational/analytics purposes only — not gambling advice
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FINAL / SOPrudential Center · Nov 4
EDM rest: 2dNJD rest: 4d
Edmonton Oilers at New Jersey Devils: score, goals, shots, period-by-period stats and the HabsMetrics prediction made before puck drop, from the NHL’s official data. Analytics for educational purposes only — not gambling advice.
Game analysis
Devils beat Oilers 4–3 in a shootout
- Tied 3–3 after overtime; the Devils won the shootout.
- C. Hellebuyck stopped 18 of 21 shots (.857) for the win.
- The Devils controlled play, outshooting the Oilers 34–21.
- Power play: NJD 2/5, EDM 2/4.
- J. Hughes led all scorers with 2 goals and 1 assist.
- HabsMetrics model had the Devils as 53% favourites — it called this one.
HabsMetrics Analytics — for educational/analytics purposes only — not gambling advice.
Three stars
- 1st starJ. Hughes
NJD · 2G 1A
- 2nd starR. Nugent-Hopkins
EDM · 1G 1A
- 3rd starC. Brown
NJD · 1G 1A
Scoring summary
1st
- 8:29EDME. BouchardVideoAssists: M. Ekholm, R. Nugent-Hopkins1–0
2nd
- 7:42NJDC. BrownPPVideoAssists: J. Hughes, L. Hughes1–1
- 14:50NJDJ. HughesVideoAssists: D. Hamilton, J. Bratt1–2
- 15:35NJDJ. HughesPPVideoAssists: C. Brown, N. Hischier1–3
- 18:16EDMR. Nugent-HopkinsPPVideoAssists: E. Bouchard, K. Kapanen2–3
3rd
- 1:00EDML. DraisaitlPPVideoAssists: K. Kapanen, C. McDavid3–3
OT
No scoring
Shootout
- 0:00NJDA. GritsyukVideo3–4
Period by Period
Stats not yet available
Team Stats
EDMNJD
| Shots | -- | -- |
| Hits | 23 | 13 |
| Blocked | 15 | 10 |
| Power Play | 2/4 | 2/5 |
| Faceoff % | 50.0 | 50.0 |
| Corsi % | 39.0 | 61.0 |
| xG | 1.61 | 2.92 |
| Giveaways | 15 | 20 |
| Takeaways | 3 | 7 |
New Jersey Devils
| Player | G | A | P | +/- | SOG | TOI |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | 1 | 3 | +1 | 5 | 25:17 | |
| 1 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 3 | 16:37 | |
| 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 18:09 | |
| 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 4 | 20:09 | |
| 0 | 1 | 1 | +1 | 6 | 22:52 | |
| 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 28:43 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | -1 | 1 | 12:58 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | -1 | 1 | 13:21 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 09:33 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 17:50 | |
| -- | -- | 34/37 | -- | .919 | 65:00 | |
| -- | -- | 18/21 | -- | .857 | 00:00 |
Edmonton Oilers
| Player | G | A | P | +/- | SOG | TOI |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 19:59 | |
| 1 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 19:30 | |
| 1 | 1 | 2 | +1 | 1 | 27:26 | |
| 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 4 | 22:46 | |
| 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 24:15 | |
| 0 | 1 | 1 | +1 | 3 | 22:28 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 11:58 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 10:55 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 14:37 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 12:56 | |
| -- | -- | 55/59 | -- | .932 | 64:47 | |
| -- | -- | 30/34 | -- | .882 | 00:00 |
Projected score
EDM
3.2
–
NJD
3.3
Most likely final: NJD 3–2 EDM · Actual: 4–3
- NJD win
- 53%
- EDM win
- 47%
- Goes to OT/SO
- 23%
Likeliest scorelines
- NJD 3 – 2 EDM8%
- NJD 2 – 3 EDM7%
- NJD 4 – 3 EDM7%
- NJD 3 – 4 EDM7%
- NJD 2 – 1 EDM4%
Goal totals & margins
- 6+ total goals
- 60%
- 7+ total goals
- 50%
- NJD by 2+
- 27%
- EDM by 2+
- 23%
Key factors (goal margin, + favors home)
- Team OffenseNJD scoring +2% vs league average, EDM +14% (time-weighted goal model).-0.34
- Market ConsensusBlended 35% toward the consensus market.+0.23
- Home IceLeague-wide home scoring edge of +5% applied to NJD.+0.14
- InjuriesEDM without Isaac Howard, Zach Hyman, Mattias Janmark.+0.13
- Projected GoaltendingProjected starters vs an average goalie, shrunk by shots faced: Jake Allen (NJD) -0.03 g/gm; Devon Levi (EDM) -0.03 g/gm.-0.00
- Team DefenseNJD allowing -3% vs league average, EDM -3%.+0.00
HabsMetrics Analytics — for educational/analytics purposes only — not gambling advice
Lineups
EDM
Actual (from shift data)L2
9:16
D3
11:10
15:57
96Walman
11:46
Injured / Scratched
- Isaac Howardother · Left Knee
- Atro Leppaneninjured-reserve · Undisclosed
- Zach Hymaninjured-reserve · Neck
- Devon Leviinjured-reserve · Undisclosed
- Alec Regulalong-term-injured-reserve · Undisclosed
- Matt Savoielong-term-injured-reserve · Lower Body
- Mattias Janmarkinjured-reserve · Undisclosed (Surgery)
- Frederik Anderseninjured-reserve · Knee
NJD
Actual (from shift data)Injured / Scratched
- Seamus Caseyinjured-reserve · Knee
HabsMetrics Analytics — for educational purposes. Lines are inferred from shared five-skater ice time in NHL shift data; projections are estimates.
For educational/analytics purposes only — not gambling advice