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Predicted vs actual

Every game the model has called and that has since been played, newest first. Projections count only if they were stored before puck drop.

Pick a team

NSH: 1 of 7 called right (14%)

Predicted versus actual results
DateGameModel pickProjectedFinalCall
Nov 10NSH @ LAKLAK 51%2.9–3.03–0Wrong
Nov 7STL @ NSHNSH 53%2.9–3.01–3Right
Nov 5NSH @ COLCOL 60%3.0–3.63–2Wrong
Oct 31TBL @ NSHTBL 53%3.3–3.14–5Wrong
Oct 29WSH @ NSHNSH 53%3.0–3.24–3Wrong
Oct 27NYI @ NSHNSH 53%2.7–2.94–3Wrong
Oct 25COL @ NSHCOL 59%3.5–2.92–6Wrong

Model pick: the team the model gave the better chance to win; an exact 50% goes to the home team. Projected and final scores read away–home.

For educational/analytics purposes only — not gambling advice. Model version poisson-dc-v1.