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FINAL / SOBridgestone Arena · Oct 31
TBL rest: 1dNSH rest: 0d

Tampa Bay Lightning at Nashville Predators: score, goals, shots, period-by-period stats and the HabsMetrics prediction made before puck drop, from the NHL’s official data. Analytics for educational purposes only — not gambling advice.

Game analysis

Predators beat Lightning 5–4 in a shootout

  • Tied 4–4 after overtime; the Predators won the shootout.
  • J. Annunen stopped 22 of 26 shots (.846) for the win.
  • Power play: NSH 1/3, TBL 0/3.
  • N. Kucherov led all scorers with 0 goals and 3 assists.
  • Model miss: the Predators won with only a 47% pre-game win probability.

HabsMetrics Analytics — for educational/analytics purposes only — not gambling advice.

Three stars

  1. 1st star
    S. Stamkos

    NSH · 1G 0A

  2. 2nd star
    N. Kucherov

    TBL · 0G 3A

  3. 3rd star
    A. Edstrom

    NSH · 1G 0A

Scoring summary

Period by Period

Stats not yet available

Team Stats

TBLNSH
Team statistics comparison
Shots----
Hits1917
Blocked2315
Power Play0/31/3
Faceoff %46.953.1
Corsi %----
xG2.823.02
Giveaways129
Takeaways32

Nashville Predators

Player statistics for Nashville Predators
PlayerGAP+/-SOGTOI
022-1220:45
0220218:02
011+1019:12
101+2212:02
011-2018:02
101-2616:18
0110321:32
1010117:31
0110020:23
1010217:15
----44/48--.91764:52
----22/26--.84600:00

Tampa Bay Lightning

Player statistics for Tampa Bay Lightning
PlayerGAP+/-SOGTOI
033+3123:41
112+2519:11
011+3323:10
011+1007:41
101+3325:56
011+2025:25
101-1216:43
101+1110:02
0000111:40
000-3320:13
----45/50--.90065:00
----28/33--.84800:00
TBLaway
53%
at
NSHhome
47%
Win probability6-pt gap
Model pick
TBL · 53% to win

Key signals

Team Offense (Goal Model)Market Consensus BlendHome IceProjected GoaltendingInjuries

For educational/analytics purposes only — not gambling advice

Game Analysis

Projected score

TBL
3.3
–
NSH
3.1

Most likely final: NSH 2–3 TBL · Actual: 5–4

NSH win
47%
TBL win
53%
Goes to OT/SO
23%

Likeliest scorelines

  1. NSH 2 – 3 TBL8%
  2. NSH 3 – 2 TBL8%
  3. NSH 3 – 4 TBL7%
  4. NSH 4 – 3 TBL7%
  5. NSH 1 – 2 TBL5%

Goal totals & margins

6+ total goals
58%
7+ total goals
47%
NSH by 2+
22%
TBL by 2+
28%

Key factors (goal margin, + favors home)

  • Team OffenseNSH scoring -2% vs league average, TBL +8% (time-weighted goal model).-0.28
  • Market ConsensusBlended 35% toward the consensus market.-0.25
  • Home IceLeague-wide home scoring edge of +6% applied to NSH.+0.17
  • Projected GoaltendingProjected starters vs an average goalie, shrunk by shots faced: Juuse Saros (NSH) +0.01 g/gm; Andrei Vasilevskiy (TBL) -0.06 g/gm.+0.07
  • InjuriesTBL without Zemgus Girgensons, Yanni Gourde.+0.05
  • Team DefenseNSH allowing -2% vs league average, TBL -1%.+0.01

HabsMetrics Analytics — for educational/analytics purposes only — not gambling advice

Lineups

TBL

Actual (from shift data)
L1
20:37
23:10
25:56
23:41
L2
6:43
20:13
18:33
14:50
L3
5:25
11:40
12:42
13:44
L4
7:08
7:41
10:02
8:36
D1
15:26
25:25
19:11
D2
14:23
22:17
18:38
D3
13:28
17:36
16:43
Starter
0:00
Backup

Injured / Scratched

NSH

Actual (from shift data)
L1
11:08
17:15
18:39
13:38
L2
9:02
16:18
18:02
13:43
L3
6:57
12:02
19:12
L4
7:01
10:10
20:45
13:00
D1
15:58
27:33
21:32
D2
12:32
20:23
18:02
D3
14:13
17:31
16:05
64:52
Starter
0:00
Backup

Injured / Scratched

None reported

HabsMetrics Analytics — for educational purposes. Lines are inferred from shared five-skater ice time in NHL shift data; projections are estimates.

For educational/analytics purposes only — not gambling advice