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Predicted vs actual

Every game the model has called and that has since been played, newest first. Projections count only if they were stored before puck drop.

Pick a team

All teams: 54 of 92 called right (59%)

Predicted versus actual results
DateGameModel pickProjectedFinalCall
Nov 10NSH @ LAKLAK 51%2.9–3.03–0Wrong
Nov 10DET @ STLSTL 56%2.8–3.12–3Right
Nov 10FLA @ CBJCBJ 51%2.9–2.94–1Wrong
Nov 10COL @ TORCOL 64%3.3–2.56–3Right
Nov 10NJD @ WPGNJD 59%3.5–2.92–4Wrong
Nov 10MIN @ MTLMIN 51%2.8–2.72–1Right
Nov 10WSH @ OTTOTT 50%3.1–3.13–2Wrong
Nov 9NYI @ SJSNYI 51%3.0–3.02–3Wrong
Nov 9PHI @ VANPHI 54%3.2–2.93–1Right
Nov 9NYR @ EDMEDM 54%2.8–3.11–3Right
Nov 8PIT @ ANAANA 51%3.1–3.22–5Right
Nov 8NJD @ TORNJD 58%3.2–2.74–0Right
Nov 8PHI @ CGYPHI 52%3.0–2.93–4Wrong
Nov 8TBL @ WPGTBL 60%3.3–2.73–4Wrong
Nov 8VGK @ BUFVGK 52%3.1–3.04–1Right
Nov 8FLA @ BOSBOS 55%2.8–3.11–4Right
Nov 7VAN @ EDMEDM 73%2.4–3.92–4Right
Nov 7SJS @ DALDAL 69%2.2–3.33–4Right
Nov 7CHI @ CARCAR 79%2.1–4.02–9Right
Nov 7TBL @ MINMIN 52%2.9–3.04–3Wrong
Nov 7MTL @ TORMTL 50%3.1–3.14–2Right
Nov 7NJD @ NYINJD 54%3.0–2.75–4Right
Nov 7UTA @ OTTOTT 55%3.0–3.32–4Right
Nov 7NYR @ SEANYR 53%3.2–3.04–3Right
Nov 7STL @ NSHNSH 53%2.9–3.01–3Right

Model pick: the team the model gave the better chance to win; an exact 50% goes to the home team. Projected and final scores read away–home.

For educational/analytics purposes only — not gambling advice. Model version poisson-dc-v1.