Habs vs Wild Score & Box Score — Tue, Nov 10, 2026

SCHEDULEDCentre Bell · Nov 11

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MIN rest: 2dMTL rest: 2d

Minnesota Wild at Montréal Canadiens: score, goals, shots, period-by-period stats and the HabsMetrics prediction made before puck drop, from the NHL’s official data. Analytics for educational purposes only — not gambling advice.

MINaway

50%

MTLhome

50%

Win probabilityToss-up

Model pick

Toss-up · No clear favourite · MIN 50% · MTL 50%

Key signals

Team Defense (Goal Model)Recent Form & Shot MetricsHome IceTeam Offense (Goal Model)Injuries

For educational/analytics purposes only — not gambling advice

Game Analysis

Projected score

MIN

2.7

–

MTL

2.7

Most likely final: MTL 3–2 MIN

MTL win: 50%
MIN win: 50%
Goes to OT/SO: 26%

Likeliest scorelines

MTL 3 – 2 MIN9%
MTL 2 – 3 MIN9%
MTL 2 – 1 MIN7%
MTL 1 – 2 MIN7%
MTL 4 – 3 MIN6%

Goal totals & margins

6+ total goals: 42%
7+ total goals: 32%
MTL by 2+: 23%
MIN by 2+: 23%

Key factors (goal margin, + favors home)

Team DefenseMTL allowing -4% vs league average, MIN -16%.-0.39
Recent Form & Shot MetricsGoals model on recent results, rest, shots, special teams and shot-attempt share: MTL 2.90 vs MIN 2.88 expected goals before goalie, injury and market adjustments.+0.25
Home IceLeague-wide home scoring edge of +7% applied to MTL.+0.20
Team OffenseMTL scoring +4% vs league average, MIN +6% (time-weighted goal model).-0.04
InjuriesMTL without Josh Anderson, Mike Matheson, Ivan Demidov; MIN without Michael McCarron, Jared Spurgeon, Brock Faber.-0.03
Projected GoaltendingProjected starters vs an average goalie, shrunk by shots faced: Jacob Fowler (MTL) +0.08 g/gm; Jesper Wallstedt (MIN) +0.09 g/gm.-0.01