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Predicted vs actual

Every game the model has called and that has since been played, newest first. Projections count only if they were stored before puck drop.

Pick a team

DAL: 3 of 7 called right (43%)

Predicted versus actual results
DateGameModel pickProjectedFinalCall
Nov 7SJS @ DALDAL 69%2.2–3.33–4Right
Nov 5DAL @ CBJDAL 52%2.8–2.71–2Wrong
Nov 3DAL @ WSHWSH 50%2.8–2.86–5Wrong
Oct 31CBJ @ DALDAL 61%2.4–3.01–3Right
Oct 29MTL @ DALDAL 56%2.4–2.75–2Wrong
Oct 27NJD @ DALDAL 58%2.5–2.95–1Wrong
Oct 25NYI @ DALDAL 55%2.2–2.53–6Right

Model pick: the team the model gave the better chance to win; an exact 50% goes to the home team. Projected and final scores read away–home.

For educational/analytics purposes only — not gambling advice. Model version poisson-dc-v1.