Skip to content
← Back to Dashboard
FINALAmerican Airlines Center · Nov 1
CBJ rest: 2dDAL rest: 1d

Columbus Blue Jackets at Dallas Stars: score, goals, shots, period-by-period stats and the HabsMetrics prediction made before puck drop, from the NHL’s official data. Analytics for educational purposes only — not gambling advice.

Game analysis

Stars beat Blue Jackets 3–1

  • T. Harley scored the game-winner at 19:59 of the first.
  • The Stars scored first and led the rest of the way.
  • An empty-net goal sealed it late.
  • J. Oettinger stopped 24 of 25 shots (.960) for the win.
  • The Stars won despite being outshot 25–17.
  • HabsMetrics model had the Stars as 61% favourites — it called this one.

HabsMetrics Analytics — for educational/analytics purposes only — not gambling advice.

Three stars

  1. 1st star
    M. Rantanen

    DAL · 1G 0A

  2. 2nd star
    T. Harley

    DAL · 1G 0A

  3. 3rd star
    Z. Werenski

    CBJ · 0G 1A

Scoring summary

Period by Period

Stats not yet available

Team Stats

CBJDAL
Team statistics comparison
Shots----
Hits3310
Blocked814
Power Play0/11/2
Faceoff %60.040.0
Corsi %----
xG2.543.52
Giveaways1820
Takeaways38

Dallas Stars

Player statistics for Dallas Stars
PlayerGAP+/-SOGTOI
112+2415:23
022+1126:12
011+2015:45
0110116:38
011-1319:48
101-1318:50
101+1222:49
0000009:18
000+1011:31
000-1018:19
----36/37--.97360:00
----24/25--.96000:00

Columbus Blue Jackets

Player statistics for Columbus Blue Jackets
PlayerGAP+/-SOGTOI
0110119:18
1010120:50
011-1428:01
0000112:04
0000111:38
0000017:29
0000008:40
000-1004:34
0000221:21
0000324:54
----21/24--.87558:26
----14/17--.82400:00
CBJaway
39%
at
DALhome
61%
Win probability22-pt gap
Model pick
DAL · 61% to win

Key signals

Team Defense (Goal Model)Home IceTeam Offense (Goal Model)InjuriesProjected Goaltending

For educational/analytics purposes only — not gambling advice

Game Analysis

Projected score

CBJ
2.4
–
DAL
3.0

Most likely final: DAL 3–2 CBJ · Actual: 3–1

DAL win
61%
CBJ win
39%
Goes to OT/SO
26%

Likeliest scorelines

  1. DAL 3 – 2 CBJ10%
  2. DAL 2 – 1 CBJ8%
  3. DAL 2 – 3 CBJ8%
  4. DAL 1 – 2 CBJ7%
  5. DAL 4 – 3 CBJ6%

Goal totals & margins

6+ total goals
41%
7+ total goals
31%
DAL by 2+
31%
CBJ by 2+
16%

Key factors (goal margin, + favors home)

  • Team DefenseDAL allowing -11% vs league average, CBJ +1%.+0.37
  • Home IceLeague-wide home scoring edge of +6% applied to DAL.+0.17
  • Team OffenseDAL scoring -6% vs league average, CBJ -10% (time-weighted goal model).+0.13
  • InjuriesDAL without Radek Faksa, Matt Duchene, Oskar Back.-0.12
  • Projected GoaltendingProjected starters vs an average goalie, shrunk by shots faced: Jake Oettinger (DAL) +0.04 g/gm; Jet Greaves (CBJ) -0.03 g/gm.+0.07
  • Market ConsensusBlended 35% toward the consensus market.+0.07

HabsMetrics Analytics — for educational/analytics purposes only — not gambling advice

Lineups

CBJ

Actual (from shift data)
L1
7:41
19:18
24:54
17:26
L2
3:39
17:29
23:57
12:04
L3
4:03
11:38
15:20
14:14
L4
0:21
8:40
15:44
D1
10:58
28:01
20:50
D2
7:00
21:21
19:31
D3
4:46
12:57
58:26
Starter
0:00
Backup

Injured / Scratched

None reported

DAL

Actual (from shift data)
L1
10:19
18:19
19:48
18:50
L2
8:17
16:38
16:55
15:50
L3
8:01
15:45
15:23
11:31
L4
6:41
9:06
12:29
9:18
D1
17:09
26:12
23:29
D2
16:54
22:49
20:29
D3
10:28
12:55
12:14
60:00
Starter
0:00
Backup

Injured / Scratched

HabsMetrics Analytics — for educational purposes. Lines are inferred from shared five-skater ice time in NHL shift data; projections are estimates.

For educational/analytics purposes only — not gambling advice