Habs vs Stars Score & Box Score — Thu, Oct 29, 2026

FINALAmerican Airlines Center · Oct 30

5@2

MTL rest: 1dDAL rest: 1d

Montréal Canadiens at Dallas Stars: score, goals, shots, period-by-period stats and the HabsMetrics prediction made before puck drop, from the NHL’s official data. Analytics for educational purposes only — not gambling advice.

Game analysis

Canadiens beat Stars 5–2

C. Caufield scored the game-winner at 16:32 of the first.
An empty-net goal sealed it late.
J. Dobes stopped 17 of 19 shots (.895) for the win.
Power play: MTL 0/4, DAL 1/3.
The Stars dominated the dot, winning 64% of faceoffs.
Model miss: the Canadiens won with only a 44% pre-game win probability.

HabsMetrics Analytics — for educational/analytics purposes only — not gambling advice.

Three stars

1st star
C. Caufield
MTL · 2G 0A
2nd star
A. Newhook
MTL · 2G 0A
3rd star
N. Dobson
MTL · 0G 2A

Scoring summary

Period by Period

Stats not yet available

Team Stats

MTLDAL

Team statistics comparison
Shots	--	--
Hits	13	16
Blocked	9	10
Power Play	0/4	1/3
Faceoff %	35.7	64.3
Corsi %	54.2	45.8
xG	3.33	1.85
Giveaways	20	17
Takeaways	4	4

Dallas Stars

Player statistics for Dallas Stars
Player	G	A	P	+/-	SOG	TOI
Wyatt JohnstonC	1	1	2	0	2	21:41
Mikko RantanenRW	0	2	2	0	1	23:04
Jamie BennLW	1	0	1	-1	2	11:58
Miro HeiskanenD	0	1	1	-2	3	29:47
Colin BlackwellC	0	0	0	-2	0	08:45
Sam SteelC	0	0	0	-1	0	16:21
Jason RobertsonLW	0	0	0	-1	4	21:32
Joel KivirantaLW	0	0	0	-2	0	10:04
Roope HintzC	0	0	0	-1	1	19:27
Arttu HyryRW	0	0	0	-3	3	13:21
Jake OettingerG	--	--	27/32	--	.844	57:42
Casey DeSmithG	--	--	16/21	--	.762	00:00

Montréal Canadiens

Player statistics for Montréal Canadiens
Player	G	A	P	+/-	SOG	TOI
Cole CaufieldRW	2	0	2	+2	3	18:21
Phillip DanaultC	1	1	2	+2	2	19:26
Noah DobsonD	0	2	2	+1	4	20:24
Alex NewhookC	2	0	2	+2	2	18:47
Juraj SlafkovskýLW	0	1	1	+2	0	18:26
Chris KreiderLW	0	1	1	+1	1	12:23
Jake EvansC	0	1	1	+1	1	16:57
Adam EngstromD	0	1	1	+1	0	10:42
Alexandre CarrierD	0	1	1	+2	0	23:47
Lane HutsonD	0	1	1	0	1	21:55
Jakub DobesG	--	--	26/28	--	.929	60:00
Jacob FowlerG	--	--	17/19	--	.895	00:00

MTLaway

44%

DALhome

56%

Win probability12-pt gap

Model pick

DAL · 56% to win

Key signals

Team Defense (Goal Model)Home IceTeam Offense (Goal Model)InjuriesProjected Goaltending

For educational/analytics purposes only — not gambling advice

Game Analysis

Projected score

MTL

2.4

–

DAL

2.7

Most likely final: DAL 3–2 MTL · Actual: 2–5

DAL win: 56%
MTL win: 44%
Goes to OT/SO: 27%

Likeliest scorelines

DAL 3 – 2 MTL10%
DAL 2 – 1 MTL9%
DAL 2 – 3 MTL9%
DAL 1 – 2 MTL8%
DAL 4 – 3 MTL6%

Goal totals & margins

6+ total goals: 36%
7+ total goals: 27%
DAL by 2+: 27%
MTL by 2+: 18%

Key factors (goal margin, + favors home)

Team DefenseDAL allowing -13% vs league average, MTL -4%.+0.29
Home IceLeague-wide home scoring edge of +5% applied to DAL.+0.15
Team OffenseDAL scoring -5% vs league average, MTL -0% (time-weighted goal model).-0.13
InjuriesDAL without Radek Faksa, Matt Duchene, Oskar Back; MTL without Nick Suzuki, Ivan Demidov.+0.09
Projected GoaltendingProjected starters vs an average goalie, shrunk by shots faced: Jake Oettinger (DAL) +0.07 g/gm; Jacob Fowler (MTL) +0.10 g/gm.-0.03