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Predicted vs actual

Every game the model has called and that has since been played, newest first. Projections count only if they were stored before puck drop.

Pick a team

FLA: 4 of 7 called right (57%)

Predicted versus actual results
DateGameModel pickProjectedFinalCall
Nov 10FLA @ CBJCBJ 51%2.9–2.94–1Wrong
Nov 8FLA @ BOSBOS 55%2.8–3.11–4Right
Nov 7FLA @ WSHWSH 54%3.1–3.33–4Right
Nov 4CHI @ FLAFLA 66%2.5–3.43–5Right
Nov 2DET @ FLAFLA 59%2.6–3.15–3Wrong
Oct 27FLA @ WPGWPG 52%2.6–2.75–1Wrong
Oct 25FLA @ CHIFLA 54%3.1–2.83–2Right

Model pick: the team the model gave the better chance to win; an exact 50% goes to the home team. Projected and final scores read away–home.

For educational/analytics purposes only — not gambling advice. Model version poisson-dc-v1.