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SCHEDULEDNationwide Arena · Nov 11
FLAFLA
—@—
CBJCBJ
FLA rest: 2dCBJ rest: 3d

Florida Panthers at Columbus Blue Jackets: score, goals, shots, period-by-period stats and the HabsMetrics prediction made before puck drop, from the NHL’s official data. Analytics for educational purposes only — not gambling advice.

FLAaway
51%
at
CBJhome
49%
Win probability2-pt gap
Model pick
FLA · 51% to win

Key signals

Team Offense (Goal Model)score_goals_modelInjuriesHome IceTeam Defense (Goal Model)

For educational/analytics purposes only — not gambling advice

Game Analysis

Projected score

FLA
3.1
–
CBJ
3.0

Most likely final: CBJ 2–3 FLA

CBJ win
48%
FLA win
52%
Goes to OT/SO
24%

Likeliest scorelines

  1. CBJ 2 – 3 FLA8%
  2. CBJ 3 – 2 FLA8%
  3. CBJ 3 – 4 FLA7%
  4. CBJ 4 – 3 FLA7%
  5. CBJ 1 – 2 FLA5%

Goal totals & margins

6+ total goals
52%
7+ total goals
42%
CBJ by 2+
23%
FLA by 2+
26%

Key factors (goal margin, + favors home)

  • Team OffenseCBJ scoring -9% vs league average, FLA +0% (time-weighted goal model).-0.29
  • Recent Form & Shot MetricsGoals model on recent results, rest, shots, special teams and shot-attempt share: CBJ 2.85 vs FLA 3.18 expected goals before goalie, injury and market adjustments.-0.25
  • InjuriesCBJ without Sean Monahan, Dmitri Voronkov; FLA without Anton Lundell, Brad Marchand, Jonah Gadjovich.+0.21
  • Home IceLeague-wide home scoring edge of +6% applied to CBJ.+0.19
  • Team DefenseCBJ allowing -1% vs league average, FLA +0%.+0.04
  • Projected GoaltendingProjected starters vs an average goalie, shrunk by shots faced: Jet Greaves (CBJ) -0.05 g/gm; Akira Schmid (FLA) -0.04 g/gm.-0.02

HabsMetrics Analytics — for educational/analytics purposes only — not gambling advice

Lineups

FLA

Projected

Lines from last completed game, minus injured players.

L1
12:44
95Vilmanis
16:05
23Verhaeghe
19:58
13Reinhart
19:46
L2
12:11
15Lundell
16:48
20Eller
16:55
27Luostarinen
16:27
L3
10:05
19Tkachuk
16:53
9Bennett
14:25
8Tkachuk
14:58
L4
5:41
14Imama
6:07
79Schwindt
8:28
21Hathaway
9:37
D1
15:53
3Jones
24:16
77Mikkola
19:26
D2
15:06
5Ekblad
21:17
42Forsling
19:04
D3
14:42
7Kulikov
16:32
6Gudas
15:04
40Schmid
60:00
Starter
31Black
0:00
Backup

Injured / Scratched

CBJ

Projected

Lines from last completed game, minus injured players.

L1
13:14
91Johnson
20:47
19Fantilli
22:17
43Nichushkin
18:02
L2
11:43
89Knies
17:04
3Coyle
18:02
24Olivier
16:17
L3
10:51
23Monahan
15:17
4Sillinger
15:20
83Garland
12:27
L4
6:38
94Lomberg
8:14
93Del Bel Belluz
7:26
58Heinen
9:09
D1
14:08
8Werenski
28:47
78Severson
19:11
D2
8:37
5Mateychuk
24:54
2Christiansen
14:39
D3
7:01
44Gudbranson
15:43
15Fabbro
13:33
33Talbot
0:00
Starter
73Greaves
58:51
Backup

Injured / Scratched

None reported

HabsMetrics Analytics — for educational purposes. Lines are inferred from shared five-skater ice time in NHL shift data; projections are estimates.

For educational/analytics purposes only — not gambling advice