CHIaway
34%at
FLAhome
66%Win probability32-pt gap
Model pick
FLA · 66% to win
Key signals
Team Offense (Goal Model)Team Defense (Goal Model)Home IceMarket Consensus BlendInjuries
For educational/analytics purposes only — not gambling advice
← Back to Dashboard
FINALAmerant Bank Arena · Nov 5
CHI rest: 1dFLA rest: 1d
Chicago Blackhawks at Florida Panthers: score, goals, shots, period-by-period stats and the HabsMetrics prediction made before puck drop, from the NHL’s official data. Analytics for educational purposes only — not gambling advice.
Game analysis
Panthers beat Blackhawks 5–3
- S. Vilmanis scored the game-winner at 11:01 of the third.
- The Panthers scored first and led the rest of the way.
- An empty-net goal sealed it late.
- J. Markstrom stopped 17 of 20 shots (.850) for the win.
- The Panthers controlled play, outshooting the Blackhawks 29–20.
- HabsMetrics model had the Panthers as 66% favourites — it called this one.
HabsMetrics Analytics — for educational/analytics purposes only — not gambling advice.
Three stars
- 1st starS. Vilmanis
FLA · 2G 2A
- 2nd starC. Verhaeghe
FLA · 1G 1A
- 3rd starS. Reinhart
FLA · 1G 2A
Scoring summary
1st
- 4:43FLAS. VilmanisVideoAssists: S. Reinhart, C. Verhaeghe0–1
- 12:29FLAC. VerhaeghePPVideoAssists: B. Tkachuk, M. Tkachuk0–2
2nd
- 13:20FLAS. JonesVideoAssists: S. Vilmanis, S. Reinhart0–3
- 16:48CHIR. KantserovVideoAssists: E. Del Mastro, C. Bedard1–3
3rd
- 9:31CHIF. NazarSHVideoAssists: C. Smith, E. Del Mastro2–3
- 11:01FLAS. VilmanisVideo2–4
- 16:09CHIF. NazarVideoAssists: S. Rinzel, C. Bedard3–4
- 18:33FLAS. ReinhartENVideoAssists: S. Vilmanis3–5
Period by Period
Stats not yet available
Team Stats
CHIFLA
| Shots | -- | -- |
| Hits | 12 | 28 |
| Blocked | 14 | 15 |
| Power Play | 0/3 | 1/3 |
| Faceoff % | 48.6 | 51.4 |
| Corsi % | 42.9 | 57.1 |
| xG | 2.03 | 4.14 |
| Giveaways | 16 | 20 |
| Takeaways | 3 | 6 |
Florida Panthers
| Player | G | A | P | +/- | SOG | TOI |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | 2 | 4 | +3 | 2 | 13:34 | |
| 1 | 2 | 3 | +3 | 6 | 18:04 | |
| 1 | 1 | 2 | +2 | 4 | 17:16 | |
| 0 | 1 | 1 | -1 | 4 | 16:57 | |
| 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 4 | 21:36 | |
| 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 15:12 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | -1 | 0 | 13:49 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 09:40 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | -1 | 0 | 16:54 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | -1 | 1 | 18:22 | |
| -- | -- | 27/30 | -- | .900 | 60:00 | |
| -- | -- | 17/20 | -- | .850 | 00:00 |
Chicago Blackhawks
| Player | G | A | P | +/- | SOG | TOI |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | 0 | 2 | -1 | 3 | 17:03 | |
| 0 | 2 | 2 | +2 | 0 | 12:16 | |
| 0 | 2 | 2 | +1 | 4 | 22:25 | |
| 1 | 0 | 1 | +1 | 3 | 21:44 | |
| 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 18:33 | |
| 0 | 1 | 1 | -1 | 0 | 14:21 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | -1 | 0 | 12:52 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | -1 | 2 | 19:23 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 13:24 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 08:10 | |
| -- | -- | 39/44 | -- | .886 | 59:19 | |
| -- | -- | 25/30 | -- | .833 | 00:00 |
Projected score
CHI
2.5
–
FLA
3.4
Most likely final: FLA 3–2 CHI · Actual: 5–3
- FLA win
- 66%
- CHI win
- 34%
- Goes to OT/SO
- 22%
Likeliest scorelines
- FLA 3 – 2 CHI9%
- FLA 4 – 3 CHI7%
- FLA 2 – 3 CHI7%
- FLA 2 – 1 CHI6%
- FLA 3 – 4 CHI5%
Goal totals & margins
- 6+ total goals
- 51%
- 7+ total goals
- 41%
- FLA by 2+
- 38%
- CHI by 2+
- 14%
Key factors (goal margin, + favors home)
- Team OffenseFLA scoring -1% vs league average, CHI -15% (time-weighted goal model).+0.43
- Team DefenseFLA allowing -1% vs league average, CHI +11%.+0.34
- Home IceLeague-wide home scoring edge of +6% applied to FLA.+0.17
- Market ConsensusBlended 35% toward the consensus market.+0.15
- InjuriesFLA without Brad Marchand, Jonah Gadjovich; CHI without Patrick Kane, Bowen Byram.-0.10
- Projected GoaltendingProjected starters vs an average goalie, shrunk by shots faced: Akira Schmid (FLA) -0.03 g/gm; Spencer Knight (CHI) -0.02 g/gm.-0.00
HabsMetrics Analytics — for educational/analytics purposes only — not gambling advice
Lineups
CHI
Actual (from shift data)L2
4:43
D3
4:54
18:33
12:16
Injured / Scratched
- Patrick Kaneother · Upper Body
- Bowen Byraminjured-reserve · Upper Body
FLA
Actual (from shift data)L1
12:20
Injured / Scratched
- Brad Marchandinjured-reserve · Left Knee
- Aleksander Barkovlong-term-injured-reserve · Left Knee
- Jonah Gadjovichlong-term-injured-reserve · Upper Body (Surgery)
HabsMetrics Analytics — for educational purposes. Lines are inferred from shared five-skater ice time in NHL shift data; projections are estimates.
For educational/analytics purposes only — not gambling advice