← Back to Dashboard FINAL Amerant Bank Arena · Nov 3
DET rest: 2d FLA rest: 3d
Detroit Red Wings at Florida Panthers: score, goals, shots, period-by-period stats and the HabsMetrics prediction made before puck drop, from the NHL’s official data. Analytics for educational purposes only — not gambling advice.
Game analysis
Red Wings beat Panthers 5–3 🚨 M. Brandsegg-Nygård scored the game-winner at 2:53 of the third. 📈 An empty-net goal sealed it late. 🧤 D. Tarasov stopped 23 of 26 shots (.885) for the win. ⚡ Power play: DET 1/3, FLA 0/2. ⭐ J. Faulk led all scorers with 1 goal and 1 assist. 📊 Model miss: the Red Wings won with only a 41% pre-game win probability. HabsMetrics Analytics — for educational/analytics purposes only — not gambling advice.
Three stars ★ 1st star ★ 2nd star ★ 3rd star Period by Period Stats not yet available
Team statistics comparison Shots -- -- Hits 19 41 Blocked 17 8 Power Play 1/3 0/2 Faceoff % 46.0 54.0 Corsi % 40.0 60.0 xG 3.55 3.95 Giveaways 17 14 Takeaways 4 2
Florida Panthers Player statistics for Florida Panthers Player G A P +/- SOG TOI 1 0 1 0 5 18:59 1 0 1 +1 3 20:13 0 1 1 -1 1 20:31 0 1 1 -1 0 06:25 0 1 1 +1 2 18:52 0 1 1 +1 1 13:35 1 0 1 -1 3 20:22 0 1 1 -1 2 19:20 0 1 1 +1 3 17:21 0 0 0 -2 0 04:28 -- -- 30/35 -- .857 57:33 -- -- 24/29 -- .828 00:00
Detroit Red Wings Player statistics for Detroit Red Wings Player G A P +/- SOG TOI 0 2 2 +1 0 16:49 1 1 2 -1 1 20:28 0 2 2 +1 2 27:28 1 1 2 +1 2 16:52 0 1 1 0 2 18:13 0 1 1 0 5 18:11 1 0 1 0 4 18:39 1 0 1 +2 2 18:40 1 0 1 +1 1 07:26 0 0 0 +2 1 11:44 -- -- 48/51 -- .941 60:00 -- -- 23/26 -- .885 00:00
Most likely final: FLA 3–2 DET · Actual: 3–5
FLA win 59%
DET win 41%
Goes to OT/SO 24% Likeliest scorelines FLA 3 – 2 DET 9% FLA 2 – 3 DET 8% FLA 4 – 3 DET 7% FLA 2 – 1 DET 7% FLA 3 – 4 DET 6% Goal totals & margins
6+ total goals 48%
7+ total goals 38%
FLA by 2+ 31%
DET by 2+ 18% Key factors (goal margin, + favors home) Home Ice League-wide home scoring edge of +6% applied to FLA. +0.17 Team Offense FLA scoring -1% vs league average, DET -6% (time-weighted goal model). +0.14 Market Consensus Blended 35% toward the consensus market. +0.11 Projected Goaltending Projected starters vs an average goalie, shrunk by shots faced: Akira Schmid (FLA) -0.03 g/gm; John Gibson (DET) -0.10 g/gm. +0.08 Team Defense FLA allowing -3% vs league average, DET -1%. +0.06 Injuries FLA without Brad Marchand, Jonah Gadjovich; DET without Dylan Larkin, Simon Edvinsson, Albert Johansson. -0.01 HabsMetrics Analytics — for educational/analytics purposes only — not gambling advice
Lineups
DET Actual (from shift data)
FLA Actual (from shift data) HabsMetrics Analytics — for educational purposes. Lines are inferred from shared five-skater ice time in NHL shift data; projections are estimates.
For educational/analytics purposes only — not gambling advice
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