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Predicted vs actual

Every game the model has called and that has since been played, newest first. Projections count only if they were stored before puck drop.

Pick a team

WPG: 2 of 7 called right (29%)

Predicted versus actual results
DateGameModel pickProjectedFinalCall
Nov 10NJD @ WPGNJD 59%3.5–2.92–4Wrong
Nov 8TBL @ WPGTBL 60%3.3–2.73–4Wrong
Nov 5VAN @ WPGWPG 59%3.0–3.52–6Right
Nov 3WPG @ MTLMTL 62%2.4–3.15–4Wrong
Nov 1WPG @ CARCAR 69%2.3–3.40–7Right
Oct 27FLA @ WPGWPG 52%2.6–2.75–1Wrong
Oct 25MTL @ WPGWPG 56%2.6–3.02–1Wrong

Model pick: the team the model gave the better chance to win; an exact 50% goes to the home team. Projected and final scores read away–home.

For educational/analytics purposes only — not gambling advice. Model version poisson-dc-v1.