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FINALLenovo Center · Nov 1
WPG rest: 1dCAR rest: 2d

Winnipeg Jets at Carolina Hurricanes: score, goals, shots, period-by-period stats and the HabsMetrics prediction made before puck drop, from the NHL’s official data. Analytics for educational purposes only — not gambling advice.

Game analysis

Hurricanes beat Jets 7–0

  • S. Walker scored the game-winner shorthanded at 5:16 of the first.
  • The Hurricanes scored first and led the rest of the way.
  • P. Kochetkov posted a 26-save shutout.
  • Power play: CAR 2/5, WPG 0/3.
  • L. Stankoven led all scorers with 1 goal and 2 assists.
  • HabsMetrics model had the Hurricanes as 69% favourites — it called this one.

HabsMetrics Analytics — for educational/analytics purposes only — not gambling advice.

Three stars

  1. 1st star
    S. Walker

    CAR · 2G 0A

  2. 2nd star
    L. Stankoven

    CAR · 1G 2A

  3. 3rd star
    P. Kochetkov

    CAR · 1.000 SV%

Scoring summary

Period by Period

Stats not yet available

Team Stats

WPGCAR
Team statistics comparison
Shots----
Hits3013
Blocked1413
Power Play0/32/5
Faceoff %41.958.1
Corsi %45.055.0
xG2.854.73
Giveaways1318
Takeaways35

Carolina Hurricanes

Player statistics for Carolina Hurricanes
PlayerGAP+/-SOGTOI
123+2313:26
112+1121:16
022+2413:22
022+2316:16
022+2117:23
202+2521:19
0110317:34
011+1214:35
011+3115:01
1010315:46
----43/43--1.00059:58
----26/26--1.00000:00

Winnipeg Jets

Player statistics for Winnipeg Jets
PlayerGAP+/-SOGTOI
000-2014:21
000-1008:25
000-2013:59
000-2216:57
0000015:40
000-1010:36
000-2214:47
000-2420:08
0000015:06
0000314:26
----16/23--.69630:51
----25/32--.78129:09
WPGaway
31%
at
CARhome
69%
Win probability38-pt gap
Model pick
CAR · 69% to win

Key signals

Team Offense (Goal Model)Team Defense (Goal Model)Home IceMarket Consensus BlendProjected Goaltending

For educational/analytics purposes only — not gambling advice

Game Analysis

Projected score

WPG
2.3
–
CAR
3.4

Most likely final: CAR 3–2 WPG · Actual: 7–0

CAR win
69%
WPG win
31%
Goes to OT/SO
22%

Likeliest scorelines

  1. CAR 3 – 2 WPG9%
  2. CAR 2 – 1 WPG7%
  3. CAR 4 – 3 WPG7%
  4. CAR 2 – 3 WPG7%
  5. CAR 3 – 1 WPG5%

Goal totals & margins

6+ total goals
48%
7+ total goals
37%
CAR by 2+
41%
WPG by 2+
11%

Key factors (goal margin, + favors home)

  • Team OffenseCAR scoring +11% vs league average, WPG -9% (time-weighted goal model).+0.60
  • Team DefenseCAR allowing -12% vs league average, WPG +2%.+0.42
  • Home IceLeague-wide home scoring edge of +5% applied to CAR.+0.14
  • Market ConsensusBlended 35% toward the consensus market.+0.07
  • Projected GoaltendingProjected starters vs an average goalie, shrunk by shots faced: Pyotr Kochetkov (CAR) +0.04 g/gm; Stuart Skinner (WPG) -0.00 g/gm.+0.05
  • InjuriesCAR without Taylor Hall, Alexander Nikishin; WPG without Nick Bjugstad, Vladislav Namestnikov, Josh Morrissey.-0.04

HabsMetrics Analytics — for educational/analytics purposes only — not gambling advice

Lineups

WPG

Actual (from shift data)
L1
12:55
19:16
20:08
16:57
L2
5:22
15:34
15:40
14:21
L3
4:22
13:59
15:06
L4
2:39
8:25
14:47
10:36
D1
12:42
22:55
21:39
D2
11:58
19:59
16:43
D3
9:28
13:55
29:09
Starter
30:51
Backup

Injured / Scratched

CAR

Actual (from shift data)
L1
10:52
12:58
20Aho
21:16
17:34
L2
8:32
14:03
15:46
16:16
L3
8:17
13:22
13:26
15:01
L4
10:23
14:35
13:31
D1
16:39
22:01
21:19
D2
13:17
20:25
17:43
D3
11:30
59:58
Starter
0:00
Backup

Injured / Scratched

HabsMetrics Analytics — for educational purposes. Lines are inferred from shared five-skater ice time in NHL shift data; projections are estimates.

For educational/analytics purposes only — not gambling advice