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Predicted vs actual

Every game the model has called and that has since been played, newest first. Projections count only if they were stored before puck drop.

TeamAll teamsMTL
Pick a team
MTLANABOSBUFCARCBJCGYCHICOLDALDETEDMFLALAKMINNJDNSHNYINYROTTPHIPITSEASJSSTLTBLTORUTAVANVGKWPGWSH
ResultAllRightWrong

SEA: 2 of 3 called right (67%)

Predicted versus actual results
DateGameModel pickProjectedFinalCall
Nov 7NYR @ SEANYR 53%3.2–3.04–3Right
Oct 30SEA @ CGYSEA 53%3.2–3.02–6Wrong
Oct 28TOR @ SEASEA 52%3.2–3.34–5Right

Model pick: the team the model gave the better chance to win; an exact 50% goes to the home team. Projected and final scores read away–home.

For educational/analytics purposes only — not gambling advice. Model version poisson-dc-v1.