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FINALScotiabank Saddledome · Oct 31
SEA rest: 1dCGY rest: 1d

Seattle Kraken at Calgary Flames: score, goals, shots, period-by-period stats and the HabsMetrics prediction made before puck drop, from the NHL’s official data. Analytics for educational purposes only — not gambling advice.

Game analysis

Flames beat Kraken 6–2

  • M. Gridin scored the game-winner on the power play at 8:43 of the second.
  • D. Wolf stopped 20 of 22 shots (.909) for the win.
  • Power play: CGY 2/2, SEA 1/4.
  • M. Coronato led all scorers with 1 goal and 3 assists.
  • Model miss: the Flames won with only a 47% pre-game win probability.

HabsMetrics Analytics — for educational/analytics purposes only — not gambling advice.

Three stars

  1. 1st star
    M. Coronato

    CGY · 1G 3A

  2. 2nd star
    J. Farabee

    CGY · 1G 2A

  3. 3rd star
    M. Gridin

    CGY · 1G 1A

Scoring summary

Period by Period

Stats not yet available

Team Stats

SEACGY
Team statistics comparison
Shots----
Hits1731
Blocked1410
Power Play1/42/2
Faceoff %57.842.2
Corsi %----
xG1.882.13
Giveaways1411
Takeaways43

Calgary Flames

Player statistics for Calgary Flames
PlayerGAP+/-SOGTOI
134+2113:28
123+1115:18
112+1116:55
112+1516:18
011+2117:51
1010214:38
011+1316:32
011-1019:21
101+1214:14
0000211:09
----31/33--.93960:00
----21/23--.91300:00

Seattle Kraken

Player statistics for Seattle Kraken
PlayerGAP+/-SOGTOI
112-2418:54
011-1016:25
101-2217:56
011-2015:47
011-1117:26
0000215:46
0000116:01
000-1217:18
0000013:31
0000318:29
----16/22--.72730:40
----11/17--.64729:20
SEAaway
53%
at
CGYhome
47%
Win probability6-pt gap
Model pick
SEA · 53% to win

Key signals

Team Offense (Goal Model)Home IceMarket Consensus BlendProjected GoaltendingTeam Defense (Goal Model)

For educational/analytics purposes only — not gambling advice

Game Analysis

Projected score

SEA
3.2
–
CGY
3.0

Most likely final: CGY 2–3 SEA · Actual: 6–2

CGY win
47%
SEA win
53%
Goes to OT/SO
24%

Likeliest scorelines

  1. CGY 2 – 3 SEA8%
  2. CGY 3 – 2 SEA8%
  3. CGY 3 – 4 SEA7%
  4. CGY 4 – 3 SEA7%
  5. CGY 1 – 2 SEA5%

Goal totals & margins

6+ total goals
56%
7+ total goals
46%
CGY by 2+
22%
SEA by 2+
27%

Key factors (goal margin, + favors home)

  • Team OffenseCGY scoring -12% vs league average, SEA +7% (time-weighted goal model).-0.55
  • Home IceLeague-wide home scoring edge of +5% applied to CGY.+0.16
  • Market ConsensusBlended 35% toward the consensus market.+0.08
  • Projected GoaltendingProjected starters vs an average goalie, shrunk by shots faced: Devin Cooley (CGY) +0.03 g/gm; Philipp Grubauer (SEA) -0.01 g/gm.+0.04
  • Team DefenseCGY allowing +6% vs league average, SEA +7%.+0.03
  • InjuriesCGY without Samuel Honzek, Jonathan Huberdeau; SEA without Jared McCann, Ryan Lindgren.+0.03

HabsMetrics Analytics — for educational/analytics purposes only — not gambling advice

Lineups

SEA

Actual (from shift data)
L1
9:12
17:56
L2
11:29
17:18
17:26
16:25
L3
12:47
16:01
18:29
15:46
L4
2:29
12:20
13:31
4:29
D1
13:13
24:43
21:26
D2
8:24
19:36
17:18
D3
5:58
15:51
14:41
30:40
Starter
29:20
Backup

Injured / Scratched

CGY

Actual (from shift data)
L1
5:23
14:14
16:55
L2
7:18
15:18
17:51
13:28
L3
6:01
13:26
14:38
16:18
L4
5:08
12:25
11:09
11:53
D1
8:06
21:28
19:49
D2
10:53
20:03
19:21
D3
6:03
21:08
16:32
60:00
Starter
0:00
Backup

Injured / Scratched

HabsMetrics Analytics — for educational purposes. Lines are inferred from shared five-skater ice time in NHL shift data; projections are estimates.

For educational/analytics purposes only — not gambling advice