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Predicted vs actual

Every game the model has called and that has since been played, newest first. Projections count only if they were stored before puck drop.

Pick a team

BUF: 4 of 5 called right (80%)

Predicted versus actual results
DateGameModel pickProjectedFinalCall
Nov 8VGK @ BUFVGK 52%3.1–3.04–1Right
Nov 6CBJ @ BUFBUF 58%2.8–3.22–5Right
Nov 4OTT @ BUFBUF 52%3.1–3.22–1Wrong
Oct 29BUF @ ANABUF 53%3.3–3.17–6Right
Oct 27BUF @ SJSBUF 52%3.3–3.12–0Right

Model pick: the team the model gave the better chance to win; an exact 50% goes to the home team. Projected and final scores read away–home.

For educational/analytics purposes only — not gambling advice. Model version poisson-dc-v1.