← Back to Dashboard FINAL SAP Center at San Jose · Oct 28
BUF rest: 3d SJS rest: 3d
Buffalo Sabres at San Jose Sharks: score, goals, shots, period-by-period stats and the HabsMetrics prediction made before puck drop, from the NHL’s official data. Analytics for educational purposes only — not gambling advice.
Game analysis
Sabres beat Sharks 2–0 🚨 O. Zellweger scored the game-winner at 0:50 of the second. 📈 The Sabres scored first and led the rest of the way. 📈 An empty-net goal sealed it late. 🧤 C. Ellis posted a 23-save shutout. 🧤 Y. Askarov kept the Sharks in it with 39 saves (.975). 📊 HabsMetrics model had the Sabres as 52% favourites — it called this one. HabsMetrics Analytics — for educational/analytics purposes only — not gambling advice.
Three stars ★ 1st star ★ 2nd star ★ 3rd star Period by Period Stats not yet available
Team statistics comparison Shots -- -- Hits 16 35 Blocked 20 12 Power Play 0/3 0/3 Faceoff % 44.8 55.2 Corsi % 51.5 48.5 xG 4.99 2.53 Giveaways 6 21 Takeaways 5 8
San Jose Sharks Player statistics for San Jose Sharks Player G A P +/- SOG TOI 0 0 0 -1 2 16:20 0 0 0 0 0 13:24 0 0 0 0 0 10:28 0 0 0 -2 0 15:37 0 0 0 -1 0 20:22 0 0 0 0 0 10:40 0 0 0 -1 4 24:59 0 0 0 -1 1 12:17 0 0 0 -1 1 10:21 0 0 0 0 3 16:25 -- -- 51/53 -- .962 59:21 -- -- 38/40 -- .950 00:00
Buffalo Sabres Player statistics for Buffalo Sabres Player G A P +/- SOG TOI 0 2 2 +2 1 24:49 1 0 1 +2 5 17:52 1 0 1 +1 2 22:01 0 1 1 0 6 17:10 0 1 1 +1 0 11:44 0 0 0 0 2 16:02 0 0 0 0 6 12:04 0 0 0 0 0 10:04 0 0 0 +1 4 13:19 0 0 0 0 0 11:14 -- -- 41/41 -- 1.000 59:58 -- -- 23/23 -- 1.000 00:00
Most likely final: SJS 2–3 BUF · Actual: 0–2
SJS win 48%
BUF win 52%
Goes to OT/SO 24% Likeliest scorelines SJS 2 – 3 BUF 8% SJS 3 – 2 BUF 8% SJS 3 – 4 BUF 7% SJS 4 – 3 BUF 7% SJS 1 – 2 BUF 4% Goal totals & margins
6+ total goals 58%
7+ total goals 48%
SJS by 2+ 23%
BUF by 2+ 27% Key factors (goal margin, + favors home) Market Consensus Blended 35% toward the consensus market. -0.16 Home Ice League-wide home scoring edge of +5% applied to SJS. +0.16 Team Defense SJS allowing +8% vs league average, BUF +3%. -0.12 Team Offense SJS scoring -3% vs league average, BUF -0% (time-weighted goal model). -0.09 Projected Goaltending Projected starters vs an average goalie, shrunk by shots faced: Yaroslav Askarov (SJS) -0.04 g/gm; Ukko-Pekka Luukkonen (BUF) -0.09 g/gm. +0.05 Injuries SJS without Igor Chernyshov, Alexander Wennberg; BUF without Jiri Kulich, Sam Carrick, Conor Timmins. +0.01 HabsMetrics Analytics — for educational/analytics purposes only — not gambling advice
Lineups
BUF Actual (from shift data)
SJS Actual (from shift data) Injured / Scratched Kyle Keyser injured-reserve · Upper Body Igor Chernyshov other · Upper Body Alexander Wennberg other · Upper Body Quentin Musty injured-reserve · Upper Body HabsMetrics Analytics — for educational purposes. Lines are inferred from shared five-skater ice time in NHL shift data; projections are estimates.
For educational/analytics purposes only — not gambling advice
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