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Predicted vs actual

Every game the model has called and that has since been played, newest first. Projections count only if they were stored before puck drop.

Pick a team

VGK: 5 of 6 called right (83%)

Predicted versus actual results
DateGameModel pickProjectedFinalCall
Nov 8VGK @ BUFVGK 52%3.1–3.04–1Right
Nov 5VGK @ DETVGK 57%3.2–2.82–1Right
Nov 3VGK @ PITVGK 51%3.2–3.13–2Right
Nov 2VGK @ BOSBOS 55%2.9–3.22–3Right
Oct 30NJD @ VGKVGK 55%3.0–3.25–2Wrong
Oct 27OTT @ VGKVGK 56%2.8–3.21–4Right

Model pick: the team the model gave the better chance to win; an exact 50% goes to the home team. Projected and final scores read away–home.

For educational/analytics purposes only — not gambling advice. Model version poisson-dc-v1.