Knights vs Wings Score & Box Score — Thu, Nov 5, 2026

FINALLittle Caesars Arena · Nov 6

2@1

VGK rest: 1dDET rest: 1d

Vegas Golden Knights at Detroit Red Wings: score, goals, shots, period-by-period stats and the HabsMetrics prediction made before puck drop, from the NHL’s official data. Analytics for educational purposes only — not gambling advice.

Game analysis

Golden Knights beat Red Wings 2–1

T. Connelly scored the game-winner at 18:18 of the third.
C. Hart stopped 25 of 26 shots (.962) for the win.
D. Tarasov kept the Red Wings in it with 31 saves (.939).
HabsMetrics model had the Golden Knights as 57% favourites — it called this one.

HabsMetrics Analytics — for educational/analytics purposes only — not gambling advice.

Three stars

1st star
T. Connelly
VGK · 1G 0A
2nd star
B. Bowman
VGK · 1G 0A
3rd star
A. Johansson
DET · 1G 0A

Scoring summary

1st

No scoring

2nd

No scoring

3rd

2:02DETA. Johansson VideoAssists: C. Mazur, S. Dries0–1
4:20VGKB. Bowman VideoAssists: T. Hertl, V. Olofsson1–1
18:18VGKT. Connelly VideoAssists: J. Eichel, R. Andersson2–1

Period by Period

Stats not yet available

Team Stats

VGKDET

Team statistics comparison
Shots	--	--
Hits	15	16
Blocked	11	15
Power Play	0/3	0/2
Faceoff %	54.7	45.3
Corsi %	--	--
xG	3.97	2.75
Giveaways	14	15
Takeaways	3	5

Detroit Red Wings

Player statistics for Detroit Red Wings
Player	G	A	P	+/-	SOG	TOI
Sheldon DriesC	0	1	1	0	1	08:38
Anton JohanssonD	1	0	1	0	2	09:33
Carter MazurLW	0	1	1	0	1	06:48
Michael RasmussenC	0	0	0	-1	0	13:44
Michael Brandsegg-NygårdRW	0	0	0	0	0	16:48
Viktor ArvidssonLW	0	0	0	0	4	17:25
Keegan KolesarRW	0	0	0	0	0	08:16
Emmitt FinnieC	0	0	0	0	2	21:27
Alex DeBrincatRW	0	0	0	0	5	19:43
Ben ChiarotD	0	0	0	-1	2	22:32
Daniil TarasovG	--	--	42/44	--	.955	57:35
Michal PostavaG	--	--	32/34	--	.941	00:00

Vegas Golden Knights

Player statistics for Vegas Golden Knights
Player	G	A	P	+/-	SOG	TOI
Jack EichelC	0	1	1	+1	5	21:46
Trevor ConnellyLW	1	0	1	+1	2	11:19
Braeden BowmanRW	1	0	1	0	4	12:58
Tomas HertlC	0	1	1	+1	2	14:26
Victor OlofssonLW	0	1	1	+1	3	14:08
Rasmus AnderssonD	0	1	1	+1	4	18:29
Marc GatcombC	0	0	0	-1	1	08:11
Brett HowdenC	0	0	0	0	1	17:38
Nic DowdC	0	0	0	-1	0	09:37
Mark StoneRW	0	0	0	+1	0	19:07
Carter HartG	--	--	46/47	--	.979	59:11
Adin HillG	--	--	25/26	--	.962	00:00

VGKaway

57%

DEThome

43%

Win probability14-pt gap

Model pick

VGK · 57% to win

Key signals

Team Offense (Goal Model)Home IceTeam Defense (Goal Model)InjuriesProjected Goaltending

For educational/analytics purposes only — not gambling advice

Game Analysis

Projected score

VGK

3.2

–

DET

2.8

Most likely final: DET 2–3 VGK · Actual: 1–2

DET win: 43%
VGK win: 57%
Goes to OT/SO: 24%

Likeliest scorelines

DET 2 – 3 VGK9%
DET 3 – 2 VGK8%
DET 3 – 4 VGK7%
DET 4 – 3 VGK6%
DET 1 – 2 VGK6%

Goal totals & margins

6+ total goals: 52%
7+ total goals: 42%
DET by 2+: 19%
VGK by 2+: 30%

Key factors (goal margin, + favors home)

Team OffenseDET scoring -4% vs league average, VGK +3% (time-weighted goal model).-0.20
Home IceLeague-wide home scoring edge of +6% applied to DET.+0.18
Team DefenseDET allowing -0% vs league average, VGK -6%.-0.18
InjuriesDET without Dylan Larkin, Simon Edvinsson, Marco Kasper.-0.16
Projected GoaltendingProjected starters vs an average goalie, shrunk by shots faced: John Gibson (DET) -0.11 g/gm; Carter Hart (VGK) -0.02 g/gm.-0.09
Market ConsensusBlended 35% toward the consensus market.+0.01