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FINAL / SOTD Garden · Nov 3
VGK rest: 3dBOS rest: 2d

Vegas Golden Knights at Boston Bruins: score, goals, shots, period-by-period stats and the HabsMetrics prediction made before puck drop, from the NHL’s official data. Analytics for educational purposes only — not gambling advice.

Game analysis

Bruins beat Golden Knights 3–2 in a shootout

  • Tied 2–2 after overtime; the Bruins won the shootout.
  • J. Swayman stopped 21 of 23 shots (.913) for the win.
  • Power play: BOS 1/4, VGK 1/3.
  • M. Marner led all scorers with 0 goals and 2 assists.
  • HabsMetrics model had the Bruins as 55% favourites — it called this one.

HabsMetrics Analytics — for educational/analytics purposes only — not gambling advice.

Three stars

  1. 1st star
    D. Pastrnak

    BOS · 0G 1A

  2. 2nd star
    J. Hagens

    BOS · 1G 0A

  3. 3rd star
    M. Marner

    VGK · 0G 2A

Scoring summary

Period by Period

Stats not yet available

Team Stats

VGKBOS
Team statistics comparison
Shots----
Hits2814
Blocked1513
Power Play1/31/4
Faceoff %46.353.7
Corsi %----
xG2.442.86
Giveaways2017
Takeaways35

Boston Bruins

Player statistics for Boston Bruins
PlayerGAP+/-SOGTOI
011-1121:43
011+1022:07
101+1317:27
101-1216:57
011+1119:54
0110721:31
0000019:24
000+1217:53
0000003:13
0000009:36
----36/38--.94765:00
----21/23--.91300:00

Vegas Golden Knights

Player statistics for Vegas Golden Knights
PlayerGAP+/-SOGTOI
022+1124:25
0110413:48
101-1221:35
101+1114:17
0110523:44
000-1124:57
0000009:19
0000215:59
0000005:20
0000011:02
----45/48--.93865:00
----24/27--.88900:00
VGKaway
45%
at
BOShome
55%
Win probability10-pt gap
Model pick
BOS · 55% to win

Key signals

Market Consensus BlendHome IceTeam Defense (Goal Model)Team Offense (Goal Model)Projected Goaltending

For educational/analytics purposes only — not gambling advice

Game Analysis

Projected score

VGK
2.9
–
BOS
3.2

Most likely final: BOS 3–2 VGK · Actual: 3–2

BOS win
55%
VGK win
45%
Goes to OT/SO
24%

Likeliest scorelines

  1. BOS 3 – 2 VGK8%
  2. BOS 2 – 3 VGK8%
  3. BOS 4 – 3 VGK7%
  4. BOS 3 – 4 VGK6%
  5. BOS 2 – 1 VGK5%

Goal totals & margins

6+ total goals
54%
7+ total goals
44%
BOS by 2+
28%
VGK by 2+
21%

Key factors (goal margin, + favors home)

  • Market ConsensusBlended 35% toward the consensus market.-0.22
  • Home IceLeague-wide home scoring edge of +6% applied to BOS.+0.17
  • Team DefenseBOS allowing -9% vs league average, VGK -4%.+0.16
  • Team OffenseBOS scoring +7% vs league average, VGK +3% (time-weighted goal model).+0.10
  • Projected GoaltendingProjected starters vs an average goalie, shrunk by shots faced: Jeremy Swayman (BOS) +0.04 g/gm; Carter Hart (VGK) -0.03 g/gm.+0.07

HabsMetrics Analytics — for educational/analytics purposes only — not gambling advice

Lineups

VGK

Actual (from shift data)
L1
7:12
15:16
24:57
21:35
L2
6:07
15:59
19:26
24:25
L3
3:17
14:17
13:48
5:20
L4
4:37
9:19
9:43
11:02
D1
12:35
23:46
21:05
D2
11:59
21:54
18:18
D3
9:59
23:44
12:06
65:00
Starter
0:00
Backup

Injured / Scratched

BOS

Actual (from shift data)
L1
9:59
19:24
21:43
21:31
L2
11:57
22:07
17:27
L3
7:48
16:57
19:46
L4
2:53
9:36
9:02
3:13
D1
12:28
25:36
20:35
D2
13:34
19:54
18:58
D3
9:20
17:57
14:08
65:00
Starter
0:00
Backup

Injured / Scratched

None reported

HabsMetrics Analytics — for educational purposes. Lines are inferred from shared five-skater ice time in NHL shift data; projections are estimates.

For educational/analytics purposes only — not gambling advice