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Predicted vs actual

Every game the model has called and that has since been played, newest first. Projections count only if they were stored before puck drop.

Pick a team

WSH: 3 of 6 called right (50%)

Predicted versus actual results
DateGameModel pickProjectedFinalCall
Nov 10WSH @ OTTOTT 50%3.1–3.13–2Wrong
Nov 7FLA @ WSHWSH 54%3.1–3.33–4Right
Nov 3DAL @ WSHWSH 50%2.8–2.86–5Wrong
Nov 1MIN @ WSHMIN 51%2.9–2.85–1Right
Oct 29WSH @ NSHNSH 53%3.0–3.24–3Wrong
Oct 28PHI @ WSHWSH 64%2.4–3.22–5Right

Model pick: the team the model gave the better chance to win; an exact 50% goes to the home team. Projected and final scores read away–home.

For educational/analytics purposes only — not gambling advice. Model version poisson-dc-v1.