← Back to Dashboard FINAL Capital One Arena · Nov 4
DAL rest: 2d WSH rest: 2d
Dallas Stars at Washington Capitals: score, goals, shots, period-by-period stats and the HabsMetrics prediction made before puck drop, from the NHL’s official data. Analytics for educational purposes only — not gambling advice.
Game analysis
Stars beat Capitals 6–5 🚨 R. Hintz scored the game-winner at 1:23 of the third. 📈 The Stars scored first and led the rest of the way. 🧤 J. Oettinger stopped 20 of 25 shots (.800) for the win. ⚡ Power play: DAL 1/2, WSH 2/3. ⭐ J. Robertson recorded a hat trick and 1 assist. 📊 Model miss: the Stars won with only a 50% pre-game win probability. HabsMetrics Analytics — for educational/analytics purposes only — not gambling advice.
Three stars ★ 1st star ★ 2nd star ★ 3rd star Period by Period Stats not yet available
Team statistics comparison Shots -- -- Hits 18 24 Blocked 18 8 Power Play 1/2 2/3 Faceoff % 59.6 40.4 Corsi % 44.8 55.2 xG 3.00 2.45 Giveaways 10 13 Takeaways 4 7
Washington Capitals Player statistics for Washington Capitals Player G A P +/- SOG TOI 1 2 3 -2 1 17:03 1 1 2 +1 2 12:56 0 2 2 -3 3 17:48 1 1 2 -2 5 26:50 1 0 1 +2 4 15:12 1 0 1 +3 2 13:05 0 1 1 +2 0 12:04 0 1 1 +1 0 12:02 0 1 1 -1 0 18:02 0 1 1 -2 1 22:04 -- -- 14/20 -- .700 31:49 -- -- 10/16 -- .625 25:17
Dallas Stars Player statistics for Dallas Stars Player G A P +/- SOG TOI 3 1 4 +2 5 17:05 1 2 3 +2 2 14:27 0 2 2 +1 2 16:13 0 2 2 +3 1 24:43 0 1 1 0 0 12:03 1 0 1 +2 1 13:51 1 0 1 +1 1 18:51 0 1 1 +1 1 26:32 0 1 1 +1 0 13:38 0 1 1 +2 4 15:25 -- -- 33/38 -- .868 60:00 -- -- 20/25 -- .800 00:00
Most likely final: WSH 3–2 DAL · Actual: 5–6
WSH win 50%
DAL win 50%
Goes to OT/SO 25% Likeliest scorelines WSH 3 – 2 DAL 9% WSH 2 – 3 DAL 9% WSH 2 – 1 DAL 7% WSH 1 – 2 DAL 7% WSH 4 – 3 DAL 6% Goal totals & margins
6+ total goals 46%
7+ total goals 36%
WSH by 2+ 23%
DAL by 2+ 24% Key factors (goal margin, + favors home) Team Defense WSH allowing +2% vs league average, DAL -12%. -0.43 Team Offense WSH scoring +5% vs league average, DAL -6% (time-weighted goal model). +0.33 Home Ice League-wide home scoring edge of +5% applied to WSH. +0.14 Projected Goaltending Projected starters vs an average goalie, shrunk by shots faced: Logan Thompson (WSH) -0.01 g/gm; Jake Oettinger (DAL) +0.06 g/gm. -0.06 Injuries WSH without Vincent Desharnais, Rasmus Sandin; DAL without Matt Duchene, Oskar Back. +0.02 Market Consensus Blended 35% toward the consensus market. -0.00 HabsMetrics Analytics — for educational/analytics purposes only — not gambling advice
Lineups
DAL Actual (from shift data)
WSH Actual (from shift data) Injured / Scratched Patrick Thomas injured-reserve · Upper Body Vincent Desharnais injured-reserve · Abdomen (Surgery) Rasmus Sandin long-term-injured-reserve · Right Knee (Surgery) HabsMetrics Analytics — for educational purposes. Lines are inferred from shared five-skater ice time in NHL shift data; projections are estimates.
For educational/analytics purposes only — not gambling advice
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