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Predicted vs actual

Every game the model has called and that has since been played, newest first. Projections count only if they were stored before puck drop.

Pick a team

All teams: 54 of 92 called right (59%)

Predicted versus actual results
DateGameModel pickProjectedFinalCall
Nov 7FLA @ WSHWSH 54%3.1–3.33–4Right
Nov 6CBJ @ BUFBUF 58%2.8–3.22–5Right
Nov 5NSH @ COLCOL 60%3.0–3.63–2Wrong
Nov 5STL @ NJDNJD 54%2.9–3.14–5Right
Nov 5UTA @ MTLMTL 57%2.9–3.44–5Right
Nov 5PHI @ NYRNYR 58%2.6–3.02–3Right
Nov 5VGK @ DETVGK 57%3.2–2.82–1Right
Nov 5CAR @ NYICAR 62%3.1–2.45–3Right
Nov 5BOS @ PITBOS 55%3.2–2.96–2Right
Nov 5VAN @ WPGWPG 59%3.0–3.52–6Right
Nov 5DAL @ CBJDAL 52%2.8–2.71–2Wrong
Nov 5CHI @ TBLTBL 75%2.5–4.11–4Right
Nov 4CHI @ FLAFLA 66%2.5–3.43–5Right
Nov 4OTT @ BUFBUF 52%3.1–3.22–1Wrong
Nov 3ANA @ VANANA 56%3.8–3.35–4Right
Nov 3EDM @ NJDNJD 53%3.2–3.33–4Right
Nov 3WPG @ MTLMTL 62%2.4–3.15–4Wrong
Nov 3COL @ CBJCOL 58%3.4–2.92–7Wrong
Nov 3DAL @ WSHWSH 50%2.8–2.86–5Wrong
Nov 3MIN @ PHIMIN 61%2.9–2.34–2Right
Nov 3VGK @ PITVGK 51%3.2–3.13–2Right
Nov 3UTA @ TORTOR 51%3.3–3.43–2Wrong
Nov 3DET @ TBLTBL 66%2.7–3.62–4Right
Nov 3STL @ NYRSTL 51%3.0–2.91–3Wrong
Nov 2CGY @ SJSSJS 52%2.8–3.02–1Wrong

Model pick: the team the model gave the better chance to win; an exact 50% goes to the home team. Projected and final scores read away–home.

For educational/analytics purposes only — not gambling advice. Model version poisson-dc-v1.