Mammoth vs Leafs Score & Box Score — Tue, Nov 3, 2026

FINALScotiabank Arena · Nov 4

3@2

UTA rest: 2dTOR rest: 3d

Utah Mammoth at Toronto Maple Leafs: score, goals, shots, period-by-period stats and the HabsMetrics prediction made before puck drop, from the NHL’s official data. Analytics for educational purposes only — not gambling advice.

Game analysis

Mammoth beat Maple Leafs 3–2

N. Schmaltz scored the game-winner on the power play at 13:12 of the third.
S. Cossa stopped 27 of 29 shots (.931) for the win.
Power play: UTA 2/3, TOR 0/2.
C. Keller led all scorers with 0 goals and 3 assists.
Model miss: the Mammoth won with only a 49% pre-game win probability.

HabsMetrics Analytics — for educational/analytics purposes only — not gambling advice.

Three stars

1st star
C. Keller
UTA · 0G 3A
2nd star
J. Roslovic
TOR · 2G 0A
3rd star
M. Sergachev
UTA · 0G 2A

Scoring summary

Period by Period

Stats not yet available

Team Stats

UTATOR

Team statistics comparison
Shots	--	--
Hits	22	23
Blocked	18	14
Power Play	2/3	0/2
Faceoff %	44.2	55.8
Corsi %	53.7	46.3
xG	3.71	2.13
Giveaways	27	15
Takeaways	0	7

Toronto Maple Leafs

Player statistics for Toronto Maple Leafs
Player	G	A	P	+/-	SOG	TOI
Auston MatthewsC	0	2	2	+2	5	20:01
Jack RoslovicC	2	0	2	+2	4	18:19
Morgan RiellyD	0	1	1	+2	1	18:18
Colton SissonsC	0	0	0	-1	1	13:55
Zack MacEwenRW	0	0	0	0	1	10:30
Nick PaulLW	0	0	0	0	0	14:57
Brandon DuhaimeLW	0	0	0	0	0	12:10
Easton CowanRW	0	0	0	+2	2	19:31
Vinni LettieriC	0	0	0	0	0	08:04
Teddy BluegerC	0	0	0	0	0	14:32
Sergei BobrovskyG	--	--	52/55	--	.945	58:30
Anthony StolarzG	--	--	33/36	--	.917	00:00

Utah Mammoth

Player statistics for Utah Mammoth
Player	G	A	P	+/-	SOG	TOI
Clayton KellerRW	0	3	3	+1	5	18:47
Mikhail SergachevD	0	2	2	0	1	25:52
Dylan GuentherRW	1	0	1	-1	2	16:55
Anders LeeLW	0	1	1	+1	3	14:46
Andrew PeekeD	1	0	1	-1	2	19:41
Nick SchmaltzC	1	0	1	-1	3	16:53
Vincent TrocheckC	0	0	0	-1	0	18:36
Barrett HaytonC	0	0	0	+1	1	16:22
Liam O'BrienC	0	0	0	0	1	07:15
Michael CarconeLW	0	0	0	-1	1	08:31
Sebastian CossaG	--	--	41/43	--	.953	59:58
Karel VejmelkaG	--	--	27/29	--	.931	00:00

UTAaway

49%

TORhome

51%

Win probabilityToss-up

Model pick

Toss-up · No clear favourite · UTA 49% · TOR 51%

Key signals

InjuriesHome IceTeam Offense (Goal Model)Projected GoaltendingTeam Defense (Goal Model)

For educational/analytics purposes only — not gambling advice

Game Analysis

Projected score

UTA

3.3

–

TOR

3.4

Most likely final: TOR 3–2 UTA · Actual: 2–3

TOR win: 51%
UTA win: 49%
Goes to OT/SO: 22%

Likeliest scorelines

TOR 3 – 2 UTA7%
TOR 4 – 3 UTA7%
TOR 2 – 3 UTA7%
TOR 3 – 4 UTA7%
TOR 5 – 4 UTA4%

Goal totals & margins

6+ total goals: 63%
7+ total goals: 53%
TOR by 2+: 26%
UTA by 2+: 25%

Key factors (goal margin, + favors home)

InjuriesTOR without Kirill Marchenko, Nick Blankenburg, John Tavares; UTA without Kailer Yamamoto, John Marino, Maveric Lamoureux.-0.25
Home IceLeague-wide home scoring edge of +5% applied to TOR.+0.14
Team OffenseTOR scoring +9% vs league average, UTA +7% (time-weighted goal model).+0.06
Projected GoaltendingProjected starters vs an average goalie, shrunk by shots faced: Sergei Bobrovsky (TOR) -0.05 g/gm; Karel Vejmelka (UTA) -0.10 g/gm.+0.05
Team DefenseTOR allowing +5% vs league average, UTA +6%.+0.01