Flames vs Sharks Score & Box Score — Mon, Nov 2, 2026

FINALSAP Center at San Jose · Nov 3

2@1

CGY rest: 1dSJS rest: 2d

Calgary Flames at San Jose Sharks: score, goals, shots, period-by-period stats and the HabsMetrics prediction made before puck drop, from the NHL’s official data. Analytics for educational purposes only — not gambling advice.

Game analysis

Flames beat Sharks 2–1

W. Stromgren scored the game-winner at 9:14 of the third.
The Flames scored first and led the rest of the way.
D. Wolf stopped 26 of 27 shots (.963) for the win.
The Flames won despite being outshot 27–22.
The Sharks dominated the dot, winning 62% of faceoffs.
Model miss: the Flames won with only a 48% pre-game win probability.

HabsMetrics Analytics — for educational/analytics purposes only — not gambling advice.

Three stars

1st star
D. Wolf
CGY · .963 SV%
2nd star
Y. Askarov
SJS · .909 SV%
3rd star
A. Klapka
CGY · 1G 1A

Scoring summary

1st

14:36CGYA. Klapka VideoAssists: J. Castagna1–0

2nd

No scoring

3rd

9:14CGYW. Stromgren VideoAssists: A. Klapka, J. Castagna2–0
11:57SJSS. Dickinson VideoAssists: M. Misa, J. Trouba2–1

Period by Period

Stats not yet available

Team Stats

CGYSJS

Team statistics comparison
Shots	--	--
Hits	20	22
Blocked	20	8
Power Play	0/3	0/3
Faceoff %	37.9	62.1
Corsi %	36.6	63.4
xG	2.43	2.85
Giveaways	13	17
Takeaways	4	3

San Jose Sharks

Player statistics for San Jose Sharks
Player	G	A	P	+/-	SOG	TOI
Kiefer SherwoodLW	0	1	1	0	2	19:22
Jacob TroubaD	0	1	1	+1	6	25:35
Sam DickinsonD	1	0	1	+1	2	18:55
Will SmithC	0	0	0	-1	2	18:23
Filip BystedtC	0	0	0	0	0	10:28
Barclay GoodrowC	0	0	0	0	0	08:04
Mason MarchmentLW	0	0	0	0	0	21:10
Ivar StenbergLW	0	0	0	0	2	16:41
Collin GrafRW	0	0	0	0	0	16:12
Tyler ToffoliC	0	0	0	-1	6	17:00
Yaroslav AskarovG	--	--	29/31	--	.935	58:13
Alex NedeljkovicG	--	--	20/22	--	.909	00:00

Calgary Flames

Player statistics for Calgary Flames
Player	G	A	P	+/-	SOG	TOI
Jonathan CastagnaC	0	2	2	+1	0	09:53
Adam KlapkaRW	1	1	2	+2	2	11:36
William StromgrenLW	1	0	1	+2	2	08:34
Mikael BacklundC	0	0	0	0	4	20:47
Morgan FrostC	0	0	0	+1	1	14:28
Yegor SharangovichC	0	0	0	0	2	17:24
Ryan StromeC	0	0	0	-1	1	13:14
Matt CoronatoRW	0	0	0	0	0	18:38
Joel FarabeeLW	0	0	0	0	1	20:11
Matvei GridinRW	0	0	0	-1	1	15:53
Dustin WolfG	--	--	49/50	--	.980	60:00
Arsenii SergeevG	--	--	26/27	--	.963	00:00

CGYaway

48%

SJShome

52%

Win probability4-pt gap

Model pick

SJS · 52% to win

Key signals

Home IceInjuriesProjected GoaltendingTeam Defense (Goal Model)Market Consensus Blend

For educational/analytics purposes only — not gambling advice

Game Analysis

Projected score

CGY

2.8

–

SJS

3.0

Most likely final: SJS 3–2 CGY · Actual: 1–2

SJS win: 52%
CGY win: 48%
Goes to OT/SO: 24%

Likeliest scorelines

SJS 3 – 2 CGY9%
SJS 2 – 3 CGY8%
SJS 4 – 3 CGY7%
SJS 3 – 4 CGY6%
SJS 2 – 1 CGY6%

Goal totals & margins

6+ total goals: 49%
7+ total goals: 39%
SJS by 2+: 26%
CGY by 2+: 22%

Key factors (goal margin, + favors home)

Home IceLeague-wide home scoring edge of +6% applied to SJS.+0.17
InjuriesSJS without Igor Chernyshov, Alexander Wennberg; CGY without Connor Zary, Samuel Honzek, Jonathan Huberdeau.+0.04
Projected GoaltendingProjected starters vs an average goalie, shrunk by shots faced: Yaroslav Askarov (SJS) +0.00 g/gm; Devin Cooley (CGY) +0.03 g/gm.-0.03
Team DefenseSJS allowing +6% vs league average, CGY +5%.-0.03
Market ConsensusBlended 35% toward the consensus market.-0.00
Team OffenseSJS scoring -9% vs league average, CGY -9% (time-weighted goal model).+0.00