Wings vs Lightning Score & Box Score — Tue, Nov 3, 2026

FINALBenchmark International Arena · Nov 4

2@4

DET rest: 0dTBL rest: 3d

Detroit Red Wings at Tampa Bay Lightning: score, goals, shots, period-by-period stats and the HabsMetrics prediction made before puck drop, from the NHL’s official data. Analytics for educational purposes only — not gambling advice.

Game analysis

Lightning beat Red Wings 4–2

A. Cirelli scored the game-winner at 8:41 of the second.
The Lightning scored first and led the rest of the way.
An empty-net goal sealed it late.
A. Vasilevskiy stopped 19 of 21 shots (.905) for the win.
Power play: TBL 1/3, DET 1/4.
HabsMetrics model had the Lightning as 66% favourites — it called this one.

HabsMetrics Analytics — for educational/analytics purposes only — not gambling advice.

Three stars

1st star
B. Point
TBL · 2G 0A
2nd star
N. Kucherov
TBL · 0G 2A
3rd star
J. Compher
DET · 1G 1A

Scoring summary

Period by Period

Stats not yet available

Team Stats

DETTBL

Team statistics comparison
Shots	--	--
Hits	37	21
Blocked	23	11
Power Play	1/4	1/3
Faceoff %	49.1	50.9
Corsi %	38.3	61.7
xG	2.74	3.55
Giveaways	15	15
Takeaways	3	5

Tampa Bay Lightning

Player statistics for Tampa Bay Lightning
Player	G	A	P	+/-	SOG	TOI
Nikita KucherovRW	0	2	2	+1	3	21:40
Brayden PointC	2	0	2	+1	4	18:23
Anthony CirelliC	1	0	1	+2	5	18:39
Gage GoncalvesC	0	1	1	+1	0	16:44
Ryan McDonaghD	1	0	1	+2	1	18:03
Charle-Edouard D'AstousD	0	1	1	0	2	18:14
J.J. MoserD	0	1	1	0	0	13:58
Erik CernakD	0	1	1	+2	0	18:49
Dominic JamesC	0	0	0	-1	1	10:34
Jeffrey VielLW	0	0	0	0	1	10:58
Andrei VasilevskiyG	--	--	31/33	--	.939	60:00
Dennis HildebyG	--	--	19/21	--	.905	00:00

Detroit Red Wings

Player statistics for Detroit Red Wings
Player	G	A	P	+/-	SOG	TOI
J.T. CompherLW	1	1	2	0	2	16:06
Lucas RaymondLW	1	0	1	-1	5	19:32
Justin FaulkD	0	1	1	-2	1	19:52
Andrew CoppC	0	1	1	-1	1	19:13
Sheldon DriesC	0	0	0	0	0	10:22
Michael RasmussenC	0	0	0	0	2	15:08
Michael Brandsegg-NygårdRW	0	0	0	0	0	13:58
Carter MazurLW	0	0	0	-1	0	08:29
Keegan KolesarRW	0	0	0	0	0	10:34
Andreas EnglundD	0	0	0	0	0	13:51
Daniil TarasovG	--	--	19/23	--	.826	36:59
John GibsonG	--	--	17/21	--	.810	20:00

DETaway

34%

TBLhome

66%

Win probability32-pt gap

Model pick

TBL · 66% to win

Key signals

Team Offense (Goal Model)Market Consensus BlendRest / Back-to-BackHome IceInjuries

For educational/analytics purposes only — not gambling advice

Game Analysis

Projected score

DET

2.7

–

TBL

3.6

Most likely final: TBL 3–2 DET · Actual: 4–2

TBL win: 66%
DET win: 34%
Goes to OT/SO: 22%

Likeliest scorelines

TBL 3 – 2 DET8%
TBL 4 – 3 DET7%
TBL 2 – 3 DET6%
TBL 3 – 4 DET6%
TBL 2 – 1 DET5%

Goal totals & margins

6+ total goals: 58%
7+ total goals: 47%
TBL by 2+: 39%
DET by 2+: 14%

Key factors (goal margin, + favors home)

Team OffenseTBL scoring +9% vs league average, DET -3% (time-weighted goal model).+0.35
Market ConsensusBlended 35% toward the consensus market.+0.20
RestDET on the second night of a back-to-back.+0.18
Home IceLeague-wide home scoring edge of +5% applied to TBL.+0.14
InjuriesTBL without Zemgus Girgensons, Yanni Gourde; DET without Simon Edvinsson, Dylan Larkin, Albert Johansson.+0.10
Projected GoaltendingProjected starters vs an average goalie, shrunk by shots faced: Andrei Vasilevskiy (TBL) -0.07 g/gm; John Gibson (DET) -0.10 g/gm.+0.04
Team DefenseTBL allowing -0% vs league average, DET -1%.-0.02