← Back to Dashboard FINAL Nationwide Arena · Nov 4
COL rest: 0d CBJ rest: 2d
Colorado Avalanche at Columbus Blue Jackets: score, goals, shots, period-by-period stats and the HabsMetrics prediction made before puck drop, from the NHL’s official data. Analytics for educational purposes only — not gambling advice.
Game analysis
Blue Jackets beat Avalanche 7–2 🚨 J. Christiansen scored the game-winner at 4:19 of the second. 📈 The Blue Jackets scored first and led the rest of the way. 🧤 C. Talbot stopped 27 of 29 shots (.931) for the win. 🏒 The Blue Jackets won despite being outshot 29–24. ⚡ Power play: CBJ 2/4, COL 1/3. 📊 Model miss: the Blue Jackets won with only a 42% pre-game win probability. HabsMetrics Analytics — for educational/analytics purposes only — not gambling advice.
Three stars ★ 1st star ★ 2nd star ★ 3rd star Period by Period Stats not yet available
Team statistics comparison Shots -- -- Hits 11 15 Blocked 11 15 Power Play 1/3 2/4 Faceoff % 47.3 52.7 Corsi % -- -- xG 2.96 3.03 Giveaways 18 15 Takeaways 4 6
Columbus Blue Jackets Player statistics for Columbus Blue Jackets Player G A P +/- SOG TOI 2 2 4 +4 3 20:18 1 2 3 +4 2 17:41 0 2 2 +3 2 24:32 1 1 2 +3 2 17:43 1 1 2 +2 1 16:43 0 1 1 0 1 18:54 1 0 1 0 1 15:31 0 1 1 +1 1 20:29 0 1 1 +3 0 18:58 1 0 1 +1 4 19:59 -- -- 45/47 -- .957 60:00 -- -- 27/29 -- .931 00:00
Colorado Avalanche Player statistics for Colorado Avalanche Player G A P +/- SOG TOI 0 2 2 -3 1 19:28 1 1 2 -3 5 22:32 1 0 1 0 1 14:49 0 1 1 0 1 19:09 0 0 0 0 1 13:08 0 0 0 0 0 15:55 0 0 0 0 2 15:21 0 0 0 -3 4 18:49 0 0 0 0 3 13:23 0 0 0 0 0 13:36 -- -- 13/20 -- .650 32:19 -- -- 9/16 -- .563 27:20
Most likely final: CBJ 2–3 COL · Actual: 7–2
CBJ win 42%
COL win 58%
Goes to OT/SO 23% Likeliest scorelines CBJ 2 – 3 COL 8% CBJ 3 – 4 COL 7% CBJ 3 – 2 COL 7% CBJ 4 – 3 COL 6% CBJ 1 – 2 COL 5% Goal totals & margins
6+ total goals 58%
7+ total goals 48%
CBJ by 2+ 19%
COL by 2+ 32% Key factors (goal margin, + favors home) Team Offense CBJ scoring -12% vs league average, COL +19% (time-weighted goal model). -0.88 Rest COL on the second night of a back-to-back. +0.19 Market Consensus Blended 35% toward the consensus market. +0.16 Home Ice League-wide home scoring edge of +5% applied to CBJ. +0.14 Team Defense CBJ allowing +1% vs league average, COL -2%. -0.09 Injuries COL without Josh Manson. +0.04 Projected Goaltending Projected starters vs an average goalie, shrunk by shots faced: Jet Greaves (CBJ) -0.04 g/gm; Mackenzie Blackwood (COL) -0.00 g/gm. -0.03 HabsMetrics Analytics — for educational/analytics purposes only — not gambling advice
Lineups
COL Actual (from shift data)
CBJ Actual (from shift data) Injured / Scratched None reported
HabsMetrics Analytics — for educational purposes. Lines are inferred from shared five-skater ice time in NHL shift data; projections are estimates.
For educational/analytics purposes only — not gambling advice
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