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NSH rest: 1d COL rest: 1d
Nashville Predators at Colorado Avalanche: score, goals, shots, period-by-period stats and the HabsMetrics prediction made before puck drop, from the NHL’s official data. Analytics for educational purposes only — not gambling advice.
Game analysis
Predators beat Avalanche 3–2 in overtime 🚨 S. Stamkos scored the game-winner on the power play at 2:18 in overtime. 🧤 J. Annunen stopped 31 of 33 shots (.939) for the win. 🏒 The Predators won despite being outshot 33–25. ⚡ Power play: NSH 1/5, COL 0/3. ⭐ R. O'Reilly led all scorers with 0 goals and 2 assists. 📊 Model miss: the Predators won with only a 40% pre-game win probability. HabsMetrics Analytics — for educational/analytics purposes only — not gambling advice.
Three stars ★ 1st star ★ 2nd star ★ 3rd star Period by Period Stats not yet available
Team statistics comparison Shots -- -- Hits 21 20 Blocked 25 10 Power Play 1/5 0/3 Faceoff % 50.0 50.0 Corsi % 39.8 60.2 xG 3.38 2.91 Giveaways 10 13 Takeaways 3 3
Colorado Avalanche Player statistics for Colorado Avalanche Player G A P +/- SOG TOI 0 1 1 +1 3 23:37 0 1 1 0 0 11:39 0 1 1 0 1 16:47 1 0 1 +1 2 11:40 1 0 1 +1 1 12:53 0 1 1 +1 0 11:46 0 0 0 +1 0 08:33 0 0 0 -2 1 09:24 0 0 0 0 1 24:00 0 0 0 0 2 18:31 -- -- 38/41 -- .927 62:18 -- -- 22/25 -- .880 00:00
Nashville Predators Player statistics for Nashville Predators Player G A P +/- SOG TOI 0 2 2 +1 2 24:31 0 1 1 +1 0 09:46 1 0 1 +1 2 12:44 1 0 1 0 3 19:01 0 1 1 0 2 28:22 1 0 1 +1 3 09:26 0 0 0 -2 3 20:07 0 0 0 +1 0 15:16 0 0 0 -2 0 12:29 0 0 0 0 0 18:08 -- -- 45/47 -- .957 62:18 -- -- 30/32 -- .938 00:00
Most likely final: COL 3–2 NSH · Actual: 2–3
COL win 60%
NSH win 40%
Goes to OT/SO 22% Likeliest scorelines COL 3 – 2 NSH 8% COL 4 – 3 NSH 7% COL 2 – 3 NSH 6% COL 3 – 4 NSH 6% COL 5 – 4 NSH 4% Goal totals & margins
6+ total goals 63%
7+ total goals 53%
COL by 2+ 34%
NSH by 2+ 18% Key factors (goal margin, + favors home) Team Offense COL scoring +17% vs league average, NSH +0% (time-weighted goal model). +0.47 Market Consensus Blended 35% toward the consensus market. +0.20 Home Ice League-wide home scoring edge of +6% applied to COL. +0.18 Team Defense COL allowing +2% vs league average, NSH -3%. -0.14 Projected Goaltending Projected starters vs an average goalie, shrunk by shots faced: Mackenzie Blackwood (COL) -0.02 g/gm; Juuse Saros (NSH) +0.03 g/gm. -0.05 Injuries COL without Josh Manson; NSH without Jonathan Marchessault. -0.02 HabsMetrics Analytics — for educational/analytics purposes only — not gambling advice
Lineups
NSH Actual (from shift data) Injured / Scratched None reported
COL Actual (from shift data) HabsMetrics Analytics — for educational purposes. Lines are inferred from shared five-skater ice time in NHL shift data; projections are estimates.
For educational/analytics purposes only — not gambling advice
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