STLaway
46%at
NJDhome
54%Win probability8-pt gap
Model pick
NJD · 54% to win
Key signals
Home IceProjected GoaltendingTeam Offense (Goal Model)InjuriesTeam Defense (Goal Model)
For educational/analytics purposes only — not gambling advice
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FINAL / OTPrudential Center · Nov 6
STL rest: 1dNJD rest: 1d
Game analysis
Devils beat Blues 5–4 in overtime
- J. Bratt scored the game-winner at 1:26 in overtime.
- C. Hellebuyck stopped 28 of 32 shots (.875) for the win.
- Power play: NJD 0/3, STL 1/3.
- A. Mantha led all scorers with 2 goals and 1 assist.
- HabsMetrics model had the Devils as 54% favourites — it called this one.
HabsMetrics Analytics — for educational/analytics purposes only — not gambling advice.
Three stars
Scoring summary
2nd
- 12:02NJDA. ManthaVideoAssists: J. Hughes, J. Bratt0–2
- 16:04STLR. ThomasPPVideoAssists: M. McTavish, P. Broberg1–2
- 18:00NJDJ. BoqvistVideoAssists: L. Hughes, A. Mantha1–3
- 18:19NJDA. ManthaVideoAssists: E. Rodrigues, B. Pesce1–4
3rd
- 11:46STLM. McTavishVideoAssists: J. Barron, C. Parayko2–4
- 14:36STLP. BrobergVideoAssists: J. Neighbours, A. Jiricek3–4
- 14:54STLD. DvorskyVideoAssists: C. McMichael4–4
OT
- 1:26NJDJ. BrattVideoAssists: D. Hamilton4–5
Period by Period
Stats not yet available
Team Stats
STLNJD
| Shots | -- | -- |
| Hits | 16 | 18 |
| Blocked | 16 | 8 |
| Power Play | 1/3 | 0/3 |
| Faceoff % | 49.2 | 50.8 |
| Corsi % | 43.2 | 56.8 |
| xG | 3.45 | 3.67 |
| Giveaways | 15 | 15 |
| Takeaways | 5 | 4 |
New Jersey Devils
| Player | G | A | P | +/- | SOG | TOI |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | 1 | 3 | 0 | 3 | 13:37 | |
| 0 | 2 | 2 | +2 | 6 | 20:13 | |
| 0 | 2 | 2 | +1 | 1 | 22:22 | |
| 1 | 1 | 2 | +3 | 2 | 17:35 | |
| 1 | 1 | 2 | +1 | 2 | 26:47 | |
| 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 12:06 | |
| 0 | 1 | 1 | +1 | 1 | 20:58 | |
| 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 15:15 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | -1 | 0 | 12:23 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 18:02 | |
| -- | -- | 39/43 | -- | .907 | 61:00 | |
| -- | -- | 28/32 | -- | .875 | 00:00 |
St. Louis Blues
| Player | G | A | P | +/- | SOG | TOI |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 4 | 17:37 | |
| 1 | 1 | 2 | -1 | 3 | 28:22 | |
| 1 | 0 | 1 | +1 | 2 | 12:36 | |
| 0 | 1 | 1 | +2 | 0 | 15:14 | |
| 0 | 1 | 1 | -1 | 0 | 13:31 | |
| 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 19:47 | |
| 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 13:31 | |
| 1 | 0 | 1 | -2 | 4 | 20:57 | |
| 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 16:19 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | -1 | 1 | 12:00 | |
| -- | -- | 43/48 | -- | .896 | 61:26 | |
| -- | -- | 31/36 | -- | .861 | 00:00 |
Projected score
STL
2.9
–
NJD
3.1
Most likely final: NJD 3–2 STL · Actual: 5–4
- NJD win
- 54%
- STL win
- 46%
- Goes to OT/SO
- 24%
Likeliest scorelines
- NJD 3 – 2 STL9%
- NJD 2 – 3 STL8%
- NJD 4 – 3 STL7%
- NJD 3 – 4 STL6%
- NJD 2 – 1 STL5%
Goal totals & margins
- 6+ total goals
- 53%
- 7+ total goals
- 43%
- NJD by 2+
- 27%
- STL by 2+
- 22%
Key factors (goal margin, + favors home)
- Home IceLeague-wide home scoring edge of +6% applied to NJD.+0.18
- Projected GoaltendingProjected starters vs an average goalie, shrunk by shots faced: Jake Allen (NJD) -0.03 g/gm; Joel Hofer (STL) +0.06 g/gm.-0.10
- Team OffenseNJD scoring +2% vs league average, STL -0% (time-weighted goal model).+0.06
- InjuriesSTL without Logan Mailloux, Tyler Tucker.+0.05
- Team DefenseNJD allowing -4% vs league average, STL -3%.+0.02
HabsMetrics Analytics — for educational/analytics purposes only — not gambling advice
Lineups
STL
Actual (from shift data)Injured / Scratched
- Torey Kruglong-term-injured-reserve · Left Ankle
- Logan Maillouxinjured-reserve · Hand (Surgery)
- Dillon Dubeinjured-reserve · Neck
- Tyler Tuckerinjured-reserve · Left Knee (Surgery)
NJD
Actual (from shift data)Injured / Scratched
- Seamus Caseyinjured-reserve · Knee
HabsMetrics Analytics — for educational purposes. Lines are inferred from shared five-skater ice time in NHL shift data; projections are estimates.
For educational/analytics purposes only — not gambling advice