Flyers vs Canucks Score & Box Score — Mon, Nov 9, 2026

SCHEDULEDRogers Arena · Nov 10

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PHI rest: 0dVAN rest: 1d

Philadelphia Flyers at Vancouver Canucks: score, goals, shots, period-by-period stats and the HabsMetrics prediction made before puck drop, from the NHL’s official data. Analytics for educational purposes only — not gambling advice.

PHIaway

61%

VANhome

39%

Win probability22-pt gap

Model pick

PHI · 61% to win

Key signals

Team Defense (Goal Model)Recent Form & Shot MetricsRest / Back-to-BackTeam Offense (Goal Model)Home Ice

For educational/analytics purposes only — not gambling advice

Game Analysis

Projected score

PHI

3.5

–

VAN

2.8

Most likely final: VAN 2–3 PHI

VAN win: 39%
PHI win: 61%
Goes to OT/SO: 22%

Likeliest scorelines

VAN 2 – 3 PHI8%
VAN 3 – 4 PHI7%
VAN 3 – 2 PHI7%
VAN 4 – 3 PHI6%
VAN 1 – 2 PHI5%

Goal totals & margins

6+ total goals: 58%
7+ total goals: 47%
VAN by 2+: 16%
PHI by 2+: 35%

Key factors (goal margin, + favors home)

Team DefenseVAN allowing +26% vs league average, PHI -3%.-0.76
Recent Form & Shot MetricsGoals model on recent results, rest, shots, special teams and shot-attempt share: VAN 2.75 vs PHI 3.51 expected goals before goalie, injury and market adjustments.-0.40
Team OffenseVAN scoring -6% vs league average, PHI -13% (time-weighted goal model).+0.23
Home IceLeague-wide home scoring edge of +7% applied to VAN.+0.20
Projected GoaltendingProjected starters vs an average goalie, shrunk by shots faced: Leevi Meriläinen (VAN) -0.04 g/gm; Joseph Woll (PHI) -0.00 g/gm.-0.04
InjuriesVAN without Tom Willander, Filip Chytil; PHI without Nikita Grebenkin, Rasmus Ristolainen.+0.03