Flames vs Oilers Score & Box Score — Wed, Oct 28, 2026

FINALRogers Place · Oct 29

0@4

CGY rest: 1dEDM rest: 1d

Calgary Flames at Edmonton Oilers: score, goals, shots, period-by-period stats and the HabsMetrics prediction made before puck drop, from the NHL’s official data. Analytics for educational purposes only — not gambling advice.

Game analysis

Oilers beat Flames 4–0

M. Joseph scored the game-winner at 7:46 of the first.
The Oilers scored first and led the rest of the way.
T. Jarry posted a 24-save shutout.
The Oilers controlled play, outshooting the Flames 32–24.
Power play: EDM 1/2, CGY 0/1.
HabsMetrics model had the Oilers as 62% favourites — it called this one.

HabsMetrics Analytics — for educational/analytics purposes only — not gambling advice.

Three stars

1st star
T. Jarry
EDM · 1.000 SV%
2nd star
M. Joseph
EDM · 1G 0A
3rd star
R. Nugent-Hopkins
EDM · 0G 2A

Scoring summary

Period by Period

Stats not yet available

Team Stats

CGYEDM

Team statistics comparison
Shots	--	--
Hits	19	28
Blocked	9	12
Power Play	0/1	1/2
Faceoff %	54.7	45.3
Corsi %	--	--
xG	2.16	3.26
Giveaways	16	11
Takeaways	3	4

Edmonton Oilers

Player statistics for Edmonton Oilers
Player	G	A	P	+/-	SOG	TOI
Connor McDavidC	0	2	2	+1	3	18:50
Ryan Nugent-HopkinsC	0	2	2	+1	2	18:23
Jason DickinsonC	0	1	1	+1	2	13:00
Mathieu JosephRW	1	0	1	+2	2	13:12
Kasperi KapanenRW	1	0	1	+1	2	18:06
Evan BouchardD	0	1	1	+2	4	22:12
Mattias EkholmD	1	0	1	+1	3	18:44
Alex FormentonLW	1	0	1	+1	1	12:12
Trent FredericC	0	0	0	0	0	11:16
Colton DachC	0	0	0	+1	2	16:50
Tristan JarryG	--	--	41/41	--	1.000	60:00
Matt TomkinsG	--	--	24/24	--	1.000	00:00

Calgary Flames

Player statistics for Calgary Flames
Player	G	A	P	+/-	SOG	TOI
Mikael BacklundC	0	0	0	-1	2	18:32
Morgan FrostC	0	0	0	-2	1	13:19
Yegor SharangovichC	0	0	0	-2	1	11:58
Ryan StromeC	0	0	0	0	4	18:30
Martin PospisilC	0	0	0	0	3	15:20
Brennan OthmannLW	0	0	0	0	0	00:52
Matvei GridinRW	0	0	0	0	1	22:31
Kevin BahlD	0	0	0	-1	0	22:43
Zach WhitecloudD	0	0	0	-1	1	19:38
Simon NemecD	0	0	0	-2	0	23:36
Dustin WolfG	--	--	30/34	--	.882	40:00
Devin CooleyG	--	--	12/16	--	.750	20:00

CGYaway

38%

EDMhome

62%

Win probability24-pt gap

Model pick

EDM · 62% to win

Key signals

Team Offense (Goal Model)Home IceMarket Consensus BlendProjected GoaltendingInjuries

For educational/analytics purposes only — not gambling advice

Game Analysis

Projected score

CGY

2.9

–

EDM

3.6

Most likely final: EDM 3–2 CGY · Actual: 4–0

EDM win: 62%
CGY win: 38%
Goes to OT/SO: 22%

Likeliest scorelines

EDM 3 – 2 CGY8%
EDM 4 – 3 CGY7%
EDM 2 – 3 CGY6%
EDM 3 – 4 CGY6%
EDM 2 – 1 CGY4%

Goal totals & margins

6+ total goals: 61%
7+ total goals: 51%
EDM by 2+: 36%
CGY by 2+: 16%

Key factors (goal margin, + favors home)

Team OffenseEDM scoring +14% vs league average, CGY -8% (time-weighted goal model).+0.63
Home IceLeague-wide home scoring edge of +4% applied to EDM.+0.12
Market ConsensusBlended 35% toward the consensus market.+0.07
Projected GoaltendingProjected starters vs an average goalie, shrunk by shots faced: Devon Levi (EDM) -0.03 g/gm; Devin Cooley (CGY) +0.03 g/gm.-0.07
InjuriesEDM without Zach Hyman, Matt Savoie, Mattias Janmark; CGY without Samuel Honzek, Jonathan Huberdeau.-0.03
Team DefenseEDM allowing +6% vs league average, CGY +7%.+0.01