← Back to DashboardFINAL / OTCrypto.com Arena · Oct 30
OTT rest: 1dLAK rest: 1d
Game analysis
Kings beat Senators 6–5 in overtime
- 🚨Q. Byfield scored the game-winner at 3:37 in overtime.
- 🧤D. Kuemper stopped 17 of 22 shots (.773) for the win.
- 🏒The Kings controlled play, outshooting the Senators 38–22.
- ⚡Power play: LAK 2/6, OTT 1/3.
- ⭐D. Cozens led all scorers with 2 goals and 1 assist.
- 📊Model miss: the Kings won with only a 46% pre-game win probability.
HabsMetrics Analytics — for educational/analytics purposes only — not gambling advice.
Three stars
- ★1st star
- ★2nd star
- ★3rd star
Period by Period
Stats not yet available
Team statistics comparison| Shots | -- | -- |
| Hits | 37 | 27 |
| Blocked | 19 | 12 |
| Power Play | 1/3 | 2/6 |
| Faceoff % | 48.4 | 51.6 |
| Corsi % | -- | -- |
| xG | 2.49 | 4.32 |
| Giveaways | 11 | 10 |
| Takeaways | 5 | 2 |
Los Angeles Kings
Player statistics for Los Angeles Kings| Player | G | A | P | +/- | SOG | TOI |
|---|
| 0 | 3 | 3 | +2 | 0 | 22:54 |
| 1 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 7 | 24:07 |
| 1 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 5 | 20:33 |
| 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 21:01 |
| 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 4 | 13:41 |
| 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 11:37 |
| 1 | 0 | 1 | -1 | 3 | 19:03 |
| 1 | 0 | 1 | -1 | 1 | 18:44 |
| 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 13:28 |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | -1 | 7 | 22:18 |
| -- | -- | 29/34 | -- | .853 | 62:56 |
| -- | -- | 17/22 | -- | .773 | 00:00 |
Ottawa Senators
Player statistics for Ottawa Senators| Player | G | A | P | +/- | SOG | TOI |
|---|
| 0 | 3 | 3 | +2 | 1 | 22:21 |
| 1 | 2 | 3 | 0 | 3 | 18:57 |
| 2 | 1 | 3 | +1 | 2 | 17:30 |
| 0 | 1 | 1 | +1 | 1 | 12:37 |
| 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 21:59 |
| 0 | 1 | 1 | -1 | 1 | 29:17 |
| 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 13:25 |
| 1 | 0 | 1 | -1 | 2 | 14:42 |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 08:30 |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | -1 | 0 | 18:19 |
| -- | -- | 25/31 | -- | .806 | 32:31 |
| -- | -- | 16/22 | -- | .727 | 30:54 |
Most likely final: LAK 2–3 OTT · Actual: 6–5
- LAK win
- 46%
- OTT win
- 54%
- Goes to OT/SO
- 26%
Likeliest scorelines
- LAK 2 – 3 OTT9%
- LAK 3 – 2 OTT9%
- LAK 1 – 2 OTT7%
- LAK 2 – 1 OTT7%
- LAK 3 – 4 OTT6%
Goal totals & margins
- 6+ total goals
- 44%
- 7+ total goals
- 34%
- LAK by 2+
- 20%
- OTT by 2+
- 26%
Key factors (goal margin, + favors home)
- Team OffenseLAK scoring -9% vs league average, OTT -0% (time-weighted goal model).-0.26
- Home IceLeague-wide home scoring edge of +5% applied to LAK.+0.15
- Projected GoaltendingProjected starters vs an average goalie, shrunk by shots faced: Darcy Kuemper (LAK) -0.03 g/gm; Linus Ullmark (OTT) +0.10 g/gm.-0.13
- Market ConsensusBlended 35% toward the consensus market.+0.03
- Team DefenseLAK allowing -1% vs league average, OTT -2%.-0.02
- InjuriesLAK without Mats Zuccarello, Kevin Fiala, Alex Turcotte; OTT without Warren Foegele, William Eklund.-0.00
HabsMetrics Analytics — for educational/analytics purposes only — not gambling advice
Lineups
OTT
Actual (from shift data)LAK
Actual (from shift data)Injured / Scratched
- Jakub Dvorakinjured-reserve · Upper Body
- Jan Jenikinjured-reserve · Undisclosed
- Mats Zuccarelloinjured-reserve · Upper Body
- Alex Turcotteinjured-reserve · Undisclosed
- Kevin Fialainjured-reserve · Left Lower Leg (Surgery)
HabsMetrics Analytics — for educational purposes. Lines are inferred from shared five-skater ice time in NHL shift data; projections are estimates.
For educational/analytics purposes only — not gambling advice
