← Back to Dashboard FINAL Ball Arena · Nov 1
CGY rest: 0d COL rest: 2d
Game analysis
Avalanche beat Flames 5–2 🚨 A. Lehkonen scored the game-winner at 5:48 of the second. 📈 The Avalanche scored first and led the rest of the way. 🧤 M. Blackwood stopped 25 of 27 shots (.926) for the win. ⚡ Power play: COL 1/3, CGY 0/0. ⚪ The Avalanche dominated the dot, winning 63% of faceoffs. 📊 HabsMetrics model had the Avalanche as 73% favourites — it called this one. HabsMetrics Analytics — for educational/analytics purposes only — not gambling advice.
Three stars ★ 1st star ★ 2nd star ★ 3rd star Period by Period Stats not yet available
Team statistics comparison Shots -- -- Hits 25 13 Blocked 11 10 Power Play 0/0 1/3 Faceoff % 37.3 62.7 Corsi % 46.8 53.2 xG 2.68 3.46 Giveaways 17 17 Takeaways 3 2
Colorado Avalanche Player statistics for Colorado Avalanche Player G A P +/- SOG TOI 0 4 4 +4 3 24:27 1 1 2 +4 2 20:02 2 0 2 +3 4 15:48 1 1 2 +3 5 19:06 0 2 2 +3 1 20:48 1 0 1 +1 3 13:38 0 1 1 -2 2 19:57 0 1 1 +1 1 15:23 0 0 0 0 0 12:12 0 0 0 0 0 13:32 -- -- 36/38 -- .947 60:00 -- -- 25/27 -- .926 00:00
Calgary Flames Player statistics for Calgary Flames Player G A P +/- SOG TOI 0 1 1 0 5 19:03 0 1 1 0 1 11:48 1 0 1 0 3 17:34 0 1 1 +1 0 18:04 1 0 1 0 2 14:36 0 0 0 -1 1 14:18 0 0 0 -1 1 12:36 0 0 0 -1 1 15:23 0 0 0 -1 0 10:11 0 0 0 -1 1 23:02 -- -- 40/45 -- .889 60:00 -- -- 28/33 -- .848 00:00
Most likely final: COL 3–2 CGY · Actual: 5–2
COL win 73%
CGY win 27%
Goes to OT/SO 19% Likeliest scorelines COL 3 – 2 CGY 8% COL 4 – 3 CGY 7% COL 2 – 3 CGY 5% COL 4 – 2 CGY 5% COL 3 – 4 CGY 5% Goal totals & margins
6+ total goals 63%
7+ total goals 52%
COL by 2+ 48%
CGY by 2+ 10% Key factors (goal margin, + favors home) Team Offense COL scoring +17% vs league average, CGY -9% (time-weighted goal model). +0.72 Rest CGY on the second night of a back-to-back. +0.19 Market Consensus Blended 35% toward the consensus market. +0.18 Team Defense COL allowing -1% vs league average, CGY +5%. +0.17 Home Ice League-wide home scoring edge of +5% applied to COL. +0.13 Projected Goaltending Projected starters vs an average goalie, shrunk by shots faced: Mackenzie Blackwood (COL) -0.02 g/gm; Dustin Wolf (CGY) -0.12 g/gm. +0.11 Injuries COL without Logan O'Connor, Josh Manson; CGY without Connor Zary, Samuel Honzek, Jonathan Huberdeau. +0.04 HabsMetrics Analytics — for educational/analytics purposes only — not gambling advice
Lineups
CGY Actual (from shift data)
COL Actual (from shift data) HabsMetrics Analytics — for educational purposes. Lines are inferred from shared five-skater ice time in NHL shift data; projections are estimates.
For educational/analytics purposes only — not gambling advice
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