CHIaway
42%at
DEThome
58%Win probability16-pt gap
Model pick
DET · 58% to win
Key signals
Team Defense (Goal Model)Team Offense (Goal Model)Home IceInjuriesProjected Goaltending
For educational/analytics purposes only — not gambling advice
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FINALLittle Caesars Arena · Oct 29
CHI rest: 0dDET rest: 1d
Chicago Blackhawks at Detroit Red Wings: score, goals, shots, period-by-period stats and the HabsMetrics prediction made before puck drop, from the NHL’s official data. Analytics for educational purposes only — not gambling advice.
Game analysis
Red Wings beat Blackhawks 4–1
- L. Raymond scored the game-winner on the power play at 1:09 of the third.
- An empty-net goal sealed it late.
- J. Gibson stopped 18 of 19 shots (.947) for the win.
- The Red Wings controlled play, outshooting the Blackhawks 31–19.
- Power play: DET 1/4, CHI 0/1.
- HabsMetrics model had the Red Wings as 58% favourites — it called this one.
HabsMetrics Analytics — for educational/analytics purposes only — not gambling advice.
Three stars
- 1st starV. Arvidsson
DET · 3G 1A
- 2nd starL. Raymond
DET · 1G 0A
- 3rd starA. DeBrincat
DET · 0G 2A
Scoring summary
1st
- 5:59CHIC. BedardVideoAssists: W. Kaiser, R. Kantserov1–0
2nd
- 7:31DETV. ArvidssonVideoAssists: W. Wallinder, A. DeBrincat1–1
3rd
- 1:09DETL. RaymondPPVideoAssists: M. Seider, V. Arvidsson1–2
- 15:26DETV. ArvidssonVideoAssists: A. DeBrincat, J. Compher1–3
- 16:45DETV. ArvidssonENVideoAssists: E. Finnie1–4
Period by Period
Stats not yet available
Team Stats
CHIDET
| Shots | -- | -- |
| Hits | 19 | 22 |
| Blocked | 10 | 13 |
| Power Play | 0/1 | 1/4 |
| Faceoff % | 44.2 | 55.8 |
| Corsi % | 42.1 | 57.9 |
| xG | 1.73 | 5.00 |
| Giveaways | 17 | 13 |
| Takeaways | 6 | 4 |
Detroit Red Wings
| Player | G | A | P | +/- | SOG | TOI |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3 | 1 | 4 | +3 | 6 | 17:07 | |
| 0 | 2 | 2 | +3 | 4 | 18:00 | |
| 0 | 1 | 1 | +2 | 4 | 18:02 | |
| 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 24:17 | |
| 0 | 1 | 1 | +1 | 0 | 17:27 | |
| 1 | 0 | 1 | -1 | 2 | 18:49 | |
| 0 | 1 | 1 | +1 | 4 | 12:16 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 12:57 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | -1 | 1 | 18:08 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 11:31 | |
| -- | -- | 31/32 | -- | .969 | 60:00 | |
| -- | -- | 18/19 | -- | .947 | 00:00 |
Chicago Blackhawks
| Player | G | A | P | +/- | SOG | TOI |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 1 | 1 | -1 | 1 | 17:41 | |
| 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 4 | 18:22 | |
| 0 | 1 | 1 | -1 | 2 | 22:36 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | -1 | 3 | 11:41 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 16:01 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 13:56 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 15:46 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | -1 | 0 | 14:02 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | -3 | 1 | 14:23 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | -1 | 1 | 15:43 | |
| -- | -- | 46/50 | -- | .920 | 59:16 | |
| -- | -- | 27/31 | -- | .871 | 00:00 |
Projected score
CHI
2.6
–
DET
3.1
Most likely final: DET 3–2 CHI · Actual: 4–1
- DET win
- 58%
- CHI win
- 42%
- Goes to OT/SO
- 25%
Likeliest scorelines
- DET 3 – 2 CHI9%
- DET 2 – 3 CHI8%
- DET 4 – 3 CHI7%
- DET 2 – 1 CHI7%
- DET 3 – 4 CHI6%
Goal totals & margins
- 6+ total goals
- 48%
- 7+ total goals
- 38%
- DET by 2+
- 30%
- CHI by 2+
- 18%
Key factors (goal margin, + favors home)
- Team DefenseDET allowing -1% vs league average, CHI +10%.+0.30
- Team OffenseDET scoring -7% vs league average, CHI -13% (time-weighted goal model).+0.20
- Home IceLeague-wide home scoring edge of +5% applied to DET.+0.15
- InjuriesDET without Dylan Larkin, Albert Johansson, Marco Kasper; CHI without Bowen Byram, Alex Vlasic.-0.11
- Projected GoaltendingProjected starters vs an average goalie, shrunk by shots faced: John Gibson (DET) -0.08 g/gm; Spencer Knight (CHI) -0.01 g/gm.-0.06
- Market ConsensusBlended 35% toward the consensus market.+0.03
HabsMetrics Analytics — for educational/analytics purposes only — not gambling advice
Lineups
CHI
Actual (from shift data)L1
10:19
D3
6:19
15:43
13:04
Injured / Scratched
- Bowen Byramother · Upper Body
DET
Actual (from shift data)L2
11:53
Injured / Scratched
- Dylan Larkininjured-reserve · Suspension
- Albert Johanssonother · Undisclosed
- Marco Kasperinjured-reserve · Upper Body
- Simon Edvinssoninjured-reserve · Contract Dispute
- Mason Appletoninjured-reserve · Undisclosed
HabsMetrics Analytics — for educational purposes. Lines are inferred from shared five-skater ice time in NHL shift data; projections are estimates.
For educational/analytics purposes only — not gambling advice