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FINAL / OTTD Garden · Oct 31
CHI rest: 1dBOS rest: 0d

Game analysis

Bruins beat Blackhawks 5–4 in overtime

  • E. Lindholm scored the game-winner at 2:32 in overtime.
  • The Bruins came back from a 2-goal deficit.
  • M. DiPietro stopped 38 of 42 shots (.905) for the win.
  • The Bruins won despite being outshot 42–32.
  • Power play: BOS 0/3, CHI 1/3.
  • HabsMetrics model had the Bruins as 71% favourites — it called this one.

HabsMetrics Analytics — for educational/analytics purposes only — not gambling advice.

Three stars

  1. 1st star
    E. Lindholm

    BOS · 1G 0A

  2. 2nd star
    A. Frondell

    CHI · 2G 0A

  3. 3rd star
    C. McAvoy

    BOS · 0G 2A

Scoring summary

Period by Period

Stats not yet available

Team Stats

CHIBOS
Team statistics comparison
Shots----
Hits1622
Blocked1116
Power Play1/30/3
Faceoff %32.367.7
Corsi %54.445.6
xG3.563.78
Giveaways1018
Takeaways54

Boston Bruins

Player statistics for Boston Bruins
PlayerGAP+/-SOGTOI
022+3421:15
022+2327:16
1010314:38
011+1322:12
101+1316:23
101+1424:48
101-1116:59
0110013:02
101+2219:44
011-1207:24
----52/56--.92961:28
----37/41--.90200:00

Chicago Blackhawks

Player statistics for Chicago Blackhawks
PlayerGAP+/-SOGTOI
2020919:15
112-1622:07
1010212:38
0110212:50
0110215:11
0110111:39
0110018:51
0110113:22
0110013:55
000-1210:34
----45/50--.90062:32
----27/32--.84400:00
CHIaway
29%
at
BOShome
71%
Win probability42-pt gap
Model pick
BOS · 71% to win

Key signals

Team Offense (Goal Model)Team Defense (Goal Model)Home IceMarket Consensus BlendProjected Goaltending

For educational/analytics purposes only — not gambling advice

Game Analysis

Projected score

CHI
2.3
–
BOS
3.6

Most likely final: BOS 3–2 CHI · Actual: 5–4

BOS win
71%
CHI win
29%
Goes to OT/SO
21%

Likeliest scorelines

  1. BOS 3 – 2 CHI9%
  2. BOS 4 – 3 CHI7%
  3. BOS 2 – 1 CHI6%
  4. BOS 2 – 3 CHI6%
  5. BOS 3 – 1 CHI5%

Goal totals & margins

6+ total goals
52%
7+ total goals
41%
BOS by 2+
43%
CHI by 2+
11%

Key factors (goal margin, + favors home)

  • Team OffenseBOS scoring +7% vs league average, CHI -15% (time-weighted goal model).+0.68
  • Team DefenseBOS allowing -11% vs league average, CHI +10%.+0.62
  • Home IceLeague-wide home scoring edge of +6% applied to BOS.+0.17
  • Market ConsensusBlended 35% toward the consensus market.-0.17
  • Projected GoaltendingProjected starters vs an average goalie, shrunk by shots faced: Jeremy Swayman (BOS) +0.04 g/gm; Spencer Knight (CHI) -0.01 g/gm.+0.05
  • InjuriesCHI without Bowen Byram.+0.01

HabsMetrics Analytics — for educational/analytics purposes only — not gambling advice

Lineups

CHI

Actual (from shift data)
L1
11:56
13:55
22:07
18:51
L2
8:54
13:22
19:15
12:50
L3
7:58
10:34
16:14
15:11
L4
7:05
11:59
12:38
15:02
D1
14:05
24:40
23:15
D2
12:52
22:57
20:38
D3
8:07
12:29
11:39
62:32
Starter
0:00
Backup

Injured / Scratched

BOS

Actual (from shift data)
L1
13:05
21:15
22:12
24:48
L2
9:52
19:44
13:02
L3
7:38
16:02
16:23
L4
6:12
7:24
8:45
8:03
D1
12:12
27:16
21:35
D2
10:37
21:16
15:02
D3
7:12
16:59
13:28
61:28
Starter
0:00
Backup

Injured / Scratched

None reported

HabsMetrics Analytics — for educational purposes. Lines are inferred from shared five-skater ice time in NHL shift data; projections are estimates.

For educational/analytics purposes only — not gambling advice