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Predicted vs actual

Every game the model has called and that has since been played, newest first. Projections count only if they were stored before puck drop.

Pick a team

All teams: 54 of 92 called right (59%)

Predicted versus actual results
DateGameModel pickProjectedFinalCall
Oct 27VAN @ ANAANA 64%3.1–4.06–5Wrong
Oct 27OTT @ VGKVGK 56%2.8–3.21–4Right
Oct 27MIN @ UTAMIN 54%3.1–2.93–1Right
Oct 27BOS @ CARCAR 55%2.9–3.21–2Right
Oct 27LAK @ CHILAK 51%2.9–2.91–2Wrong
Oct 27NYI @ NSHNSH 53%2.7–2.94–3Wrong
Oct 27FLA @ WPGWPG 52%2.6–2.75–1Wrong
Oct 27NJD @ DALDAL 58%2.5–2.95–1Wrong
Oct 27MTL @ STLSTL 56%2.7–3.12–0Wrong
Oct 27CBJ @ PHIPHI 51%2.6–2.64–3Wrong
Oct 26DET @ EDMEDM 59%2.9–3.54–3Wrong
Oct 26TOR @ CGYTOR 60%3.5–2.92–5Wrong
Oct 25MIN @ VANMIN 65%3.7–2.74–2Right
Oct 25COL @ NSHCOL 59%3.5–2.92–6Wrong
Oct 25MTL @ WPGWPG 56%2.6–3.02–1Wrong
Oct 25NYI @ DALDAL 55%2.2–2.53–6Right
Oct 25FLA @ CHIFLA 54%3.1–2.83–2Right

Model pick: the team the model gave the better chance to win; an exact 50% goes to the home team. Projected and final scores read away–home.

For educational/analytics purposes only — not gambling advice. Model version poisson-dc-v1.