BOSaway
45%at
CARhome
55%Win probability10-pt gap
Model pick
CAR · 55% to win
Key signals
Market Consensus BlendHome IceInjuriesTeam Defense (Goal Model)Projected Goaltending
For educational/analytics purposes only — not gambling advice
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FINALLenovo Center · Oct 28
BOS rest: 3dCAR rest: 3d
Boston Bruins at Carolina Hurricanes: score, goals, shots, period-by-period stats and the HabsMetrics prediction made before puck drop, from the NHL’s official data. Analytics for educational purposes only — not gambling advice.
Game analysis
Hurricanes beat Bruins 2–1
- S. Aho scored the game-winner at 10:19 of the third.
- P. Kochetkov stopped 15 of 16 shots (.938) for the win.
- J. Swayman kept the Bruins in it with 28 saves (.933).
- The Hurricanes controlled play, outshooting the Bruins 30–16.
- Power play: CAR 0/4, BOS 1/5.
- HabsMetrics model had the Hurricanes as 55% favourites — it called this one.
HabsMetrics Analytics — for educational/analytics purposes only — not gambling advice.
Three stars
- 1st starJ. Blake
CAR · 1G 0A
- 2nd starS. Aho
CAR · 1G 0A
- 3rd starN. Deslauriers
CAR · 0G 0A
Scoring summary
1st
- 1:31BOSP. ZachaPPVideoAssists: E. Lindholm, D. Pastrnak1–0
- 19:08CARJ. BlakeVideoAssists: N. Ehlers1–1
2nd
No scoring
3rd
- 10:19CARS. AhoVideoAssists: W. Carrier, A. Svechnikov1–2
Period by Period
Stats not yet available
Team Stats
BOSCAR
| Shots | -- | -- |
| Hits | 12 | 23 |
| Blocked | 15 | 16 |
| Power Play | 1/5 | 0/4 |
| Faceoff % | 52.6 | 47.4 |
| Corsi % | -- | -- |
| xG | 2.08 | 3.75 |
| Giveaways | 15 | 16 |
| Takeaways | 3 | 7 |
Carolina Hurricanes
| Player | G | A | P | +/- | SOG | TOI |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 1 | 1 | +1 | 2 | 16:47 | |
| 1 | 0 | 1 | +1 | 4 | 16:47 | |
| 0 | 1 | 1 | +1 | 4 | 16:16 | |
| 1 | 0 | 1 | +1 | 5 | 21:18 | |
| 0 | 1 | 1 | +1 | 4 | 14:00 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 07:29 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 12:17 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 17:16 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 10:18 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | +1 | 1 | 13:43 | |
| -- | -- | 21/22 | -- | .955 | 60:00 | |
| -- | -- | 14/15 | -- | .933 | 00:00 |
Boston Bruins
| Player | G | A | P | +/- | SOG | TOI |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 1 | 1 | -2 | 1 | 22:39 | |
| 1 | 0 | 1 | -1 | 2 | 20:53 | |
| 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 19:17 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 13:27 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 10:23 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | -1 | 0 | 13:46 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 15:34 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | -1 | 0 | 15:03 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 18:12 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | -2 | 0 | 12:22 | |
| -- | -- | 44/46 | -- | .957 | 57:47 | |
| -- | -- | 28/30 | -- | .933 | 00:00 |
Projected score
BOS
2.9
–
CAR
3.2
Most likely final: CAR 3–2 BOS · Actual: 2–1
- CAR win
- 55%
- BOS win
- 45%
- Goes to OT/SO
- 24%
Likeliest scorelines
- CAR 3 – 2 BOS9%
- CAR 2 – 3 BOS8%
- CAR 4 – 3 BOS7%
- CAR 3 – 4 BOS6%
- CAR 2 – 1 BOS5%
Goal totals & margins
- 6+ total goals
- 54%
- 7+ total goals
- 44%
- CAR by 2+
- 28%
- BOS by 2+
- 21%
Key factors (goal margin, + favors home)
- Market ConsensusBlended 35% toward the consensus market.+0.26
- Home IceLeague-wide home scoring edge of +5% applied to CAR.+0.16
- InjuriesCAR without Alexander Nikishin.-0.05
- Team DefenseCAR allowing -10% vs league average, BOS -11%.-0.05
- Projected GoaltendingProjected starters vs an average goalie, shrunk by shots faced: Pyotr Kochetkov (CAR) +0.03 g/gm; Jeremy Swayman (BOS) +0.06 g/gm.-0.03
- Team OffenseCAR scoring +13% vs league average, BOS +12% (time-weighted goal model).+0.01
HabsMetrics Analytics — for educational/analytics purposes only — not gambling advice
Lineups
BOS
Actual (from shift data)L2
9:02
L3
8:42
Injured / Scratched
None reported
CAR
Actual (from shift data)L1
11:42
L4
6:37
D3
10:19
15:24
13:43
Injured / Scratched
- Taylor Hallother · Undisclosed
- Alexander Nikishinother · Not Injury Related
- Jordan Staalinjured-reserve · Calf
HabsMetrics Analytics — for educational purposes. Lines are inferred from shared five-skater ice time in NHL shift data; projections are estimates.
For educational/analytics purposes only — not gambling advice