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FINALUnited Center · Oct 28
LAK rest: 1dCHI rest: 2d

Los Angeles Kings at Chicago Blackhawks: score, goals, shots, period-by-period stats and the HabsMetrics prediction made before puck drop, from the NHL’s official data. Analytics for educational purposes only — not gambling advice.

Game analysis

Blackhawks beat Kings 2–1

  • W. Kaiser scored the game-winner at 7:17 of the third.
  • S. Knight stopped 25 of 26 shots (.962) for the win.
  • Power play: CHI 1/3, LAK 0/3.
  • Model miss: the Blackhawks won with only a 49% pre-game win probability.

HabsMetrics Analytics — for educational/analytics purposes only — not gambling advice.

Three stars

  1. 1st star
    S. Knight

    CHI · .962 SV%

  2. 2nd star
    W. Kaiser

    CHI · 1G 0A

  3. 3rd star
    R. Kantserov

    CHI · 1G 0A

Scoring summary

Period by Period

Stats not yet available

Team Stats

LAKCHI
Team statistics comparison
Shots----
Hits2815
Blocked1613
Power Play0/31/3
Faceoff %57.942.1
Corsi %----
xG3.344.35
Giveaways1512
Takeaways42

Chicago Blackhawks

Player statistics for Chicago Blackhawks
PlayerGAP+/-SOGTOI
1010415:52
011+1114:23
011+1216:19
0110319:21
011-1113:44
1010220:14
000-1112:02
0000115:32
0000017:34
000-1013:43
----44/45--.97860:00
----25/26--.96200:00

Los Angeles Kings

Player statistics for Los Angeles Kings
PlayerGAP+/-SOGTOI
011+1107:59
101+1107:22
011+1208:19
000-1122:01
0000114:39
0000213:14
000-1017:10
000+1017:10
0000217:51
0000015:00
----51/53--.96258:32
----25/27--.92600:00
LAKaway
51%
at
CHIhome
49%
Win probabilityToss-up
Model pick
Toss-up · No clear favourite · LAK 51% · CHI 49%

Key signals

Team Defense (Goal Model)Team Offense (Goal Model)Rest / Back-to-BackHome IceInjuries

For educational/analytics purposes only — not gambling advice

Game Analysis

Projected score

LAK
2.9
–
CHI
2.9

Most likely final: CHI 2–3 LAK · Actual: 2–1

CHI win
49%
LAK win
51%
Goes to OT/SO
25%

Likeliest scorelines

  1. CHI 2 – 3 LAK9%
  2. CHI 3 – 2 LAK9%
  3. CHI 4 – 3 LAK7%
  4. CHI 3 – 4 LAK7%
  5. CHI 1 – 2 LAK6%

Goal totals & margins

6+ total goals
49%
7+ total goals
39%
CHI by 2+
23%
LAK by 2+
24%

Key factors (goal margin, + favors home)

  • Team DefenseCHI allowing +12% vs league average, LAK -0%.-0.34
  • Team OffenseCHI scoring -13% vs league average, LAK -7% (time-weighted goal model).-0.19
  • RestLAK on the second night of a back-to-back.+0.17
  • Home IceLeague-wide home scoring edge of +5% applied to CHI.+0.16
  • InjuriesCHI without Bowen Byram; LAK without Mats Zuccarello, Alex Turcotte, Kevin Fiala.+0.12
  • Market ConsensusBlended 35% toward the consensus market.+0.02
  • Projected GoaltendingProjected starters vs an average goalie, shrunk by shots faced: Spencer Knight (CHI) -0.03 g/gm; Darcy Kuemper (LAK) -0.03 g/gm.-0.00

HabsMetrics Analytics — for educational/analytics purposes only — not gambling advice

Lineups

LAK

Actual (from shift data)
L1
13:08
23:54
22:01
20:27
L2
7:12
17:51
20:21
13:26
L3
9:33
15:00
14:39
13:14
L4
5:35
47Lee
8:19
7:22
7:59
D1
9:25
22:25
22:17
D2
9:28
18:40
17:10
D3
13:45
17:10
16:49
58:32
Starter
0:00
Backup

Injured / Scratched

CHI

Actual (from shift data)
L1
6:54
17:34
19:21
15:52
L2
10:03
15:39
15:32
12:18
L3
7:52
11:28
16:19
14:23
L4
2:02
12:02
13:44
13:43
D1
8:56
25:42
25:36
D2
11:59
20:14
19:37
D3
4:13
16:01
60:00
Starter
0:00
Backup

Injured / Scratched

HabsMetrics Analytics — for educational purposes. Lines are inferred from shared five-skater ice time in NHL shift data; projections are estimates.

For educational/analytics purposes only — not gambling advice